Signings Report — Premiership 2021/22

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on January 3, 2022
149
Real signings
144
Evaluated
33%
Average hit rate
48
Successful
▼ 10 p.p.
vs 2020/21 season

We identified 149 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 5 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1Celtic141390469%55%
2Heart Of Midlothian212195755%49%
3Livingston101060460%48%
4Dundee12º212185850%45%
5ST Mirren8833256%44%
6Motherwell9924344%39%
7Dundee Utd7721436%34%
8Aberdeen101031635%34%
9Ross County10º101030730%31%
10Arbroath14º220020%26%
11Partick15º420020%26%
12Hibernian9811619%26%
13Rangers8811619%26%
14ST Johnstone11º111011815%23%
15Inverness CT13º550050%20%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (33%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)7940%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)7042%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
JotaCelticF220710+107.57Excellent
Barrie McKayHeart Of MidlothianM26432+107.17Excellent
Connor RonanST MirrenM21307+46.97Excellent
Christian RamirezAberdeenF295110+36.83Excellent
Cameron Carter-VickersCelticD29704+17.33Excellent
Paul McMullanDundeeM28901+76.84Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

Aberdeen (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Christian Ramirez362951103Excellent
David Bates33289220Excellent
Scott Brown25203421Good
Declan Gallagher32174601Below expectations
Vicente Besuijen16139420Fair
Teddy Jenks3171222Below expectations
Jay Emmanuel-Thomas2767901Did not deliver
Matthew Longstaff1128300Did not deliver
Austin Samuels1625400Did not deliver
Jack Gurr1025100Did not deliver

Arbroath (2 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Liam Henderson0000Did not deliver
Carlo Pignatiello0000Did not deliver

Celtic (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Joe Hart35315000Good
Carl Starfelt34301701Excellent
Cameron Carter-Vickers33297041Excellent
Jota2922071010Excellent
Josip Juranović27206231Excellent
Kyogo Furuhashi201215120Good
Daizen Maeda16117665Excellent
Reo Hatate17107342Excellent
Giorgos Giakoumakis221058131Good
James McCarthy2939400Did not deliver
Liam Scales1632611Did not deliver
Yosuke Ideguchi105100Did not deliver
Liam Shaw41000Did not deliver
Osaze Urhoghide *3000Investment

Dundee (21 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Cammy Kerr35314501Good
Ryan Sweeney36297830Good
Paul McMullan36289017Excellent
Jordan McGhee34283012Good
Jordan Marshall30252514Good
Adam Legzdins24216000Good
Paul McGowan31189912Fair
Shaun Byrne26178500Below expectations
Danny Mullen25177171Excellent
Luke McCowan36171242Fair
Charlie Adam27163423Excellent
Liam Fontaine32139801Did not deliver
Lee Ashcroft17132411Fair
Niall McGinn1686512Fair
Leigh Griffiths1682920Fair
Christie Elliot2678910Did not deliver
Jason Cummings1960730Below expectations
Cillian Sheridan1132000Did not deliver
Zeno Ibsen Rossi1020200Did not deliver
Jay Chapman123500Did not deliver
Malachi Walcott0000Did not deliver

Dundee Utd (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Charlie Mulgrew31267422Excellent
Scott McMann32217102Fair
Tony Watt17128512Good
Kevin McDonald1256600Did not deliver
Trevor Carson1436000Did not deliver
Maxime Biamou65500Did not deliver
Ross Doohan0000Did not deliver

Heart Of Midlothian (21 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Craig Gordon37324000Good
Stephen Kingsley34273960Excellent
Barrie McKay332643210Excellent
Liam Boyce322466103Excellent
Alex Cochrane38237122Fair
Craig Halkett28234220Excellent
John Souttar29228840Good
Peter Haring38202412Fair
Beni Baningime25199811Good
Josh Ginnelly34160252Good
Taylor Moore33156001Did not deliver
Michael Smith22153821Good
Gary Mackay-Steven36150824Fair
Andy Halliday32147240Fair
Ben Woodburn34133731Fair
Toby Sibbick16106100Did not deliver
Aaron McEneff3151710Did not deliver
Armand Gnanduillet1946510Below expectations
Jamie Walker1210610Did not deliver
Euan Henderson7200Did not deliver
Shaleum Logan0000Did not deliver

Hibernian (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jake Doyle Hayes35272220Good
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga17110800Did not deliver
Ewan Henderson1690010Fair
James Scott2872241Below expectations
Sylvester Jasper1563400Did not deliver
Chris Mueller1354000Did not deliver
Nathan Wood *69000Investment
Daniel MacKay42000Did not deliver
Allan Michael Delferriere9500Did not deliver

Inverness CT (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Lewis Jamieson0000Did not deliver
Billy McKay0000Did not deliver
Michael Gardyne0000Did not deliver
Kirk Broadfoot0000Did not deliver
Reece McAlear0000Did not deliver

Livingston (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ayo Obileye36286840Good
James Penrice28206104Good
Odin Bailey31193332Good
Andrew Shinnie32170732Good
Bruce Anderson311593114Good
Jon Nouble16116003Good
Sean Kelly2993901Did not deliver
Cristian Montano3169501Did not deliver
Adam Lewis1946700Did not deliver
Daniel Barden7000Did not deliver

Motherwell (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Callum Slattery37236120Fair
Kevin van Veen34228394Excellent
Sean Goss31224014Good
Kaiyne Woolery37211923Fair
Connor Shields32145422Fair
Juhani Ojala30142011Below expectations
Joseph Efford1593721Fair
Justin Amaluzor2227301Did not deliver
Liam Shaw1422600Did not deliver

Partick (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ross Maclver *0000Investment
Jake Hastie0000Did not deliver
Cammy Smith0000Did not deliver
Scott Tiffoney *0000Investment

Rangers (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
John Lundstram36154310Below expectations
Fashion Sakala35147393Good
James Sands1846000Did not deliver
Aaron Ramsey936221Fair
Amad Diallo1434930Below expectations
Juninho Bacuna1316211Did not deliver
Nnamdi Ofoborh0000Did not deliver
Stephen Kelly0000Did not deliver

Ross County (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ross Callachan35288841Excellent
Jack Baldwin30250221Excellent
Joseph Hungbo36183073Good
Jake Vokins27174800Did not deliver
Ashley Maynard Brewer24153000Did not deliver
Dominic Samuel36105510Did not deliver
David Cancola2491810Did not deliver
Jack Burroughs2974700Did not deliver
Alex Samuel1420000Did not deliver
Josh Sims63800Did not deliver

ST Johnstone (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Dan Cleary18130501Below expectations
Cameron MacPherson20120301Fair
Melker Hallberg15114604Good
Jacob Butterfield22112311Below expectations
Nadir Çiftçi1362500Did not deliver
Thomas Sang1558801Did not deliver
Hayden Muller1458100Did not deliver
Tony Gallacher1256100Did not deliver
Efe Eric Ambrose1040200Did not deliver
Thelonius Bair *1311700Investment
Jahmal Hector Ingram4000Did not deliver

ST Mirren (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Alan Power35276701Good
Scott Tanser32257024Excellent
Connor Ronan27213074Excellent
Charles Dunne28189400Below expectations
Curtis Main33166721Fair
Greg Kiltie29158324Fair
Alexander Gogić14112110Fair
Jordan Jones1283700Below expectations
Signings Report · Premiership 2021/22 · January 3, 2022