Signings Report — Primeira Liga 2022/23

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on November 30, 2022
249
Real signings
236
Evaluated
33%
Average hit rate
51
Successful
▲ 0 p.p.
vs 2021/22 season

We identified 249 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 13 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1SC Braga8741264%47%
2Casa Pia10º232396852%47%
3Benfica111043355%45%
4Guimaraes101042450%42%
5Boavista9831444%38%
6Famalicao141435639%37%
7Arouca141233638%36%
8Estoril14º161535737%35%
9GIL Vicente13º8814338%35%
10Sporting CP8822438%35%
11Chaves161643934%34%
12Pacos Ferreira17º141424829%30%
13Rio Ave12º1818341128%29%
14Vizela11º8820625%29%
15Santa Clara18º2220331422%25%
16Portimonense15º1715141020%24%
17FC Porto760060%19%
18Maritimo16º151502137%16%
19Estrela19º1190090%15%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (33%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)10021%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)14940%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
Francisco TrincãoSporting CPF222110+27.04Excellent
Santiago ColombattoFamalicaoM26203+67.10Excellent
Hidemasa MoritaSporting CPM19716+37.01Excellent
BrumaSC BragaM10294+67.14Excellent
AzizRio AveF12927+36.92Excellent
André SilvaGuimaraesF17676+16.95Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

Arouca (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ignacio de Arruabarrena33269901Good
Morlaye Sylla34228144Excellent
Jerome Opoku27192001Fair
Rafa Mújica27165380Excellent
Ismaila Soro29154300Below expectations
Oriol Busquets33119100Did not deliver
Bogdan Milovanov29100000Did not deliver
Benji Michel1528311Fair
Vitinho1025702Fair
Rafael Fernandes1113500Did not deliver
Thiago da Silva99000Did not deliver
Weverson *76700Investment
João Valido *19100Investment
Mustafa Kizza2000Did not deliver

Benfica (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Fredrik Aursnes28216124Excellent
David Neres32196768Excellent
Alexander Bah30188214Good
Enzo Fernández17138815Excellent
Petar Musa3468072Fair
Gonçalo Guedes1241511Fair
Julian Draxler1140510Fair
Mihailo Ristić1913211Did not deliver
Casper Tengstedt *112200Investment
John Brooks8200Did not deliver
João Victor4000Did not deliver

Boavista (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Bruno Onyemaechi29253811Good
Vincent Sasso29197240Fair
Bruno Lourenco29188841Excellent
Salvador Agra31167034Good
Ibrahima Camará28106802Below expectations
Róbert Boženík3197541Below expectations
Masaki Watai2952611Did not deliver
César2245000Did not deliver
Robson *2412800Investment

Casa Pia (23 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ricardo Batista32279000Good
Vasco Fernandes32247200Fair
Saviour Godwin30243141Excellent
Nermin Zolotić33221100Fair
Lucas Soares27217912Good
Afonso Taira32211501Good
Fernando Varela31204610Fair
João Nunes31163710Below expectations
Neto28154222Good
Derick Poloni29145000Did not deliver
Rafael Martins28142561Good
Takahiro Kunimoto24129912Good
Yuki Soma18122121Good
Clayton30116340Good
Romário Baró1893701Fair
Yan Brice1758400Fair
Felippe Cardoso1351840Fair
Léo Bolgado2648710Did not deliver
Diogo Pinto2646702Did not deliver
Cuca2639900Did not deliver
Duplexe Tchamba1237600Did not deliver
Léo Natel55200Did not deliver
Anderson Cordeiro92800Did not deliver

Chaves (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Steven Vitória32265470Excellent
Nelson Monte33258700Fair
João Mendes32235521Good
Carlos Ponck28180800Did not deliver
Héctor Hernández22148770Excellent
Issah Abass26137940Good
Bernardo Sousa33124804Fair
Euller22107710Fair
Habib Sylla1763400Did not deliver
Luther Singh2762801Did not deliver
João Pedro1561700Did not deliver
Sandro Cruz2854001Did not deliver
Sidy Sarr1112000Did not deliver
Helder Morim148700Did not deliver
Žiga Frelih2000Did not deliver
Joel0000Did not deliver

Estoril (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Pedro Álvaro32257910Good
Tiago Gouveia30240156Excellent
João Carvalho29231612Excellent
Rodrigo Martins34142730Fair
Mor Ndiaye32141500Did not deliver
Edson Mexer2599400Did not deliver
Cassiano1790820Fair
Tiago Araújo3288710Did not deliver
James Léa Siliki2480030Fair
Rafik Guitane1578901Below expectations
Carlos Eduardo1572320Below expectations
Erison1168920Fair
Alejandro Marqués1665530Fair
Pedro Silva3220200Did not deliver
Gonçalo Esteves *517600Investment
Mabrouk Rouai73100Did not deliver

Estrela (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Miguel Lopes19000Did not deliver
Kialonda Gaspar19000Did not deliver
Mansur19000Did not deliver
Ronaldo Tavares18900Did not deliver
Ronald *18900Investment
Sebastián Guzmán18501Did not deliver
Diogo Salomão11900Did not deliver
Aloisio11300Did not deliver
Rui Correia1000Did not deliver
Hevertton Santos *1000Investment
Antonio Filipe1000Did not deliver

FC Porto (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
André Franco2671120Did not deliver
David Carmo1965300Did not deliver
Rodrigo Conceição2755500Did not deliver
Gabriel Veron2341102Below expectations
Abraham Marcus1100Did not deliver
João Marcelo *1000Investment
Samuel1000Did not deliver

Famalicao (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Santiago Colombatto33262036Excellent
Enea Mihaj29222700Fair
Zaydou Youssouf33215720Good
Francisco Moura28211922Excellent
Mihai Alexandru Dobre1796123Fair
Álex Millán1377920Fair
Pelé1362000Below expectations
José Luis Rodríguez750813Fair
Leandro Sanca1547420Fair
Rui Fonte2145610Below expectations
Martín Aguirregabiria2442501Did not deliver
Denílson1138000Below expectations
André Simões2319900Did not deliver
Théo Fonseca811900Did not deliver

GIL Vicente (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Adrián Marín31258900Good
Carraça29187302Fair
Pedro Tiba27127110Fair
Juan Manuel Boselli31124211Fair
Kevin Villodres3073800Did not deliver
Ali Alipour1552821Fair
Marlon1139000Did not deliver
Mizuki Arai1329100Did not deliver

Guimaraes (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Mikel Villanueva29254511Excellent
André Silva23176761Excellent
Jota Silva32161522Good
Michael Johnston29137414Fair
Anderson Silva32135240Good
Safira2883351Fair
Bruno Gaspar1922401Did not deliver
Ryoya Ogawa2121600Did not deliver
Indio247900Did not deliver
Antoñin84900Did not deliver

Maritimo (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
João Afonso30150000Did not deliver
Marcelo Carné21135000Did not deliver
Val19124010Fair
Brayan Riascos1794933Fair
Pablo Moreno2389802Below expectations
Paulinho2381601Did not deliver
Jesús Ramírez3257810Did not deliver
Léo Pereira1154100Did not deliver
Matouš Trmal954000Did not deliver
Percy Liza1443410Below expectations
Geny Catamo1341510Did not deliver
Antonio Zarzana628800Below expectations
Luciano Gaston Vega1217900Did not deliver
Joel Soñora817700Did not deliver
Vitor Eudes5000Did not deliver

Pacos Ferreira (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nigel Thomas34203941Good
Jordan Holsgrove26179622Good
Marafona17142700Fair
Alexandre Guedes1779411Fair
Paulo Bernardo1475822Fair
Bastien Toma1443600Did not deliver
Arthur Sales1537000Did not deliver
Hernani Infande1036010Fair
Kayky1027900Did not deliver
Fábio Gomes1426801Did not deliver
Tiago Ilori420600Did not deliver
Tiago Ribeiro1217200Did not deliver
João Vigário91600Did not deliver
Joao Magno0000Did not deliver

Portimonense (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Moustapha Seck31225601Fair
Mohamed Diaby31141410Below expectations
Yago Cariello28139031Fair
Zié Ouattara28117110Did not deliver
Rui Gomes32108811Fair
Maurício1499930Good
Yony González1697001Fair
Bryan Rochez2889512Below expectations
Gustavo Klismahn2270501Did not deliver
Nonoca1557400Did not deliver
Lucas Alves1053000Did not deliver
Gonçalo Costa1823400Did not deliver
Sérgio Conceição1011800Did not deliver
Wagner Leonardo *39000Investment
Berke Özer *9000Investment
Matheus Nogueira17000Did not deliver
João Veras0000Did not deliver

Rio Ave (18 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jhonatan34288000Good
Patrick31191121Fair
Emmanuel Boateng29187060Good
Andreas Samaris25142701Fair
Josué Sa22135401Below expectations
Aziz17129273Excellent
João Graça26115611Below expectations
Paulo Vitor32113511Below expectations
Miguel Baeza28109101Below expectations
Leonardo Ruiz3291640Fair
Amine Oudrhiri2679700Did not deliver
Vitor Gomes2875001Did not deliver
Hernâni2467521Fair
Miguel Nóbrega2055901Did not deliver
Ukra2937702Did not deliver
João Ferreira1116700Did not deliver
Zé Manuel22500Did not deliver
Fabrice Olinga0000Did not deliver

SC Braga (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sikou Niakaté28213730Good
Victor Gómez28207004Good
Simon Banza331477112Good
Uroš Račić28113610Below expectations
Bruma16102946Excellent
Pizzi1748121Fair
Serdar Saatçı1121400Did not deliver
Diego Lainez *1316112Investment

Santa Clara (22 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gabriel Batista29234000Fair
Adriano33221811Good
Gabriel Silva33219452Excellent
Victor Bobsin28161501Below expectations
Matheus Babi27138651Good
Bruno Almeida26127613Fair
MT24114400Did not deliver
Kento Misao18105300Below expectations
Ygor Nogueira14102010Below expectations
Bruno Jordão1784710Did not deliver
Rildo3082031Fair
Xavier Quintilla2073711Did not deliver
Diogo Cabral2264200Did not deliver
Nanu1257201Below expectations
Andrézinho2454210Did not deliver
Paulo1948100Did not deliver
Walter González839700Did not deliver
Pedro Bicalho *918700Investment
Joao Marcos415900Did not deliver
Filip Stevanović *1015101Investment
Rodrigo Valente109000Did not deliver
Marcos Díaz15000Did not deliver

Sporting CP (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Francisco Trincão342221102Excellent
Hidemasa Morita29197163Excellent
Jeremiah St. Juste2392211Fair
Arthur Gomes2979612Fair
Héctor Bellerín1345510Did not deliver
Rochinha2844312Below expectations
Franco Israel3427000Did not deliver
Mateo Tanlongo1614800Did not deliver

Vizela (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Fabijan Buntić34297000Good
Milutin Osmajić31205580Excellent
Matheus Pereira2582412Below expectations
Pedro Ortiz1348000Did not deliver
Carlos Isaac1137500Did not deliver
Matías Lacava1836410Below expectations
Luis Felipe309000Did not deliver
Rick11200Did not deliver
Signings Report · Primeira Liga 2022/23 · November 30, 2022