Signings Report — J1 League 2021

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on January 3, 2022
220
Real signings
213
Evaluated
35%
Average hit rate
44
Successful
▼ 3 p.p.
vs 2020 season

We identified 220 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 7 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1Urawa111154264%51%
2Avispa Fukuoka2525961048%45%
3Kashima2211075%43%
4Sagan Tosu141453646%42%
5Yokohama F. Marinos6622250%41%
6Shonan Bellmare16º8823344%39%
7Shimizu S-pulse14º181746741%39%
8Cerezo Osaka12º131225538%36%
9Kashiwa Reysol15º8814338%36%
10Nagoya Grampus7721436%35%
11Vegalta Sendai19º101014530%32%
12Kawasaki Frontale6611425%30%
13Sanfrecce Hiroshima11º7611425%30%
14Consadole Sapporo10º3301217%30%
15Tokushima Vortis17º2222441427%29%
16Yokohama FC20º191717926%29%
17Vissel Kobe9912622%28%
18Oita Trinita18º1717241124%27%
19Gamba Osaka13º860158%23%
20FC Tokyo770167%22%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (35%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)18034%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)4037%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
Thiago SantanaShimizu S-pulseF319012+26.94Excellent
ÉlberYokohama F. MarinosM25505+67.12Excellent
Ken IwaoTokushima VortisM31443+37.23Excellent
Léo CearáYokohama F. MarinosF134310+57.17Excellent
Yoshinori MutoVissel KobeF11865+77.15Excellent
Takeru KishimotoTokushima VortisD31105+26.98Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

Avispa Fukuoka (25 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Hiroyuki Mae38334021Excellent
Masaaki Murakami38333000Good
Douglas Grolli34270010Fair
Takaaki Shichi30236613Good
Takeshi Kanamori37219942Good
Tatsuki Nara25207210Good
Daiki Miya37195400Did not deliver
Yuya Yamagishi29186054Excellent
Juanma Delgado27152650Good
Taro Sugimoto26150500Below expectations
Masato Yuzawa38148201Did not deliver
Sotan Tanabe27135201Fair
Takuya Shigehiro25133703Fair
Bruno Mendes19122540Good
Jordy Croux25110142Good
Shun Nakamura1399200Fair
Daiki Watari2795220Below expectations
Daisuke Ishizu1578701Below expectations
Naoki Wako1660101Did not deliver
John Mary1755150Fair
Caue1353510Below expectations
Carlos Gutiérrez1243900Did not deliver
Masakazu Yoshioka1033411Fair
Hisashi Jogo1427200Did not deliver
Rikihiro Sugiyama139000Did not deliver

Cerezo Osaka (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Riki Harakawa26201623Excellent
Mutsuki Kato37164070Fair
Yoshito Okubo30141761Good
Tiago Pagnussat18112240Fair
Ryosuke Shindo2167420Did not deliver
Adam Taggart1264310Fair
Takashi Inui857312Fair
Dankler654000Fair
Riki Matsuda2440411Did not deliver
Naoto Arai1529900Did not deliver
Koji Toriumi1111810Did not deliver
Hirotaka Tameda34500Did not deliver
Taishi Matsumoto *73500Investment

Consadole Sapporo (3 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ryota Aoki35176641Fair
Daihachi Okamura3250400Did not deliver
Yanagi Takahiro3436000Did not deliver

FC Tokyo (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Takuya Aoki33223300Fair
Yuto Nagatomo1090000Below expectations
Ryoma Watanabe1880321Below expectations
Junya Suzuki943900Did not deliver
Bruno Uvini65600Did not deliver
Shuto Okaniwa14500Did not deliver
Rick1300Did not deliver

Gamba Osaka (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Leandro Pereira24131650Fair
Se-jong Ju2598901Did not deliver
Wellington Silva2473902Did not deliver
Ko Yanagisawa1668900Did not deliver
Tiago Alves2055120Below expectations
Hiroto Yamami *512110Investment
Jun Ichimori1000Did not deliver
Lee Yun-Oh *0000Investment

Kashima (2 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Diego Pituca26192523Good
Arthur1446650Fair

Kashiwa Reysol (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Seung-gyu Kim35315000Good
Keiya Shiihashi33187322Fair
Douglas Moreira16107301Fair
Yuki Muto1369401Fair
Emerson Santos957400Did not deliver
Pedro Raúl854831Fair
Ippei Shinozuka2041810Did not deliver
Rodrigo1137300Did not deliver

Kawasaki Frontale (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
João Schmidt25187402Good
Marcinho1170713Fair
Kenta Tanno3845000Did not deliver
Koki Tsukagawa1727500Did not deliver
Kazuki Kozuka127700Did not deliver
Shunsuke Ando5000Did not deliver

Nagoya Grampus (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Yoichiro Kakitani36241350Good
Yasuki Kimoto36173000Did not deliver
Kazuki Nagasawa37143401Did not deliver
Min Tae Kim12107010Good
Ryoya Morishita3292901Did not deliver
Jakub Świerczok1478470Fair
Manabu Saito2871901Did not deliver

Oita Trinita (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Kento Misao36310912Good
Hokuto Shimoda33276117Excellent
Henrique Trevisan28204120Fair
Arata Watanabe33177240Fair
Shun Nagasawa33175340Fair
Yuki Kobayashi28173000Did not deliver
Keisuke Saka20155100Did not deliver
William Popp37126000Did not deliver
Asahi Masuyama1266510Did not deliver
Hiroto Goya1465821Fair
Kenta Fukumori1053600Did not deliver
Katsunori Ueebisu1451900Did not deliver
Matheus Pereira1228400Did not deliver
Junya Nodake522200Did not deliver
Hayato Kurosaki715100Did not deliver
Tsukasa Umesaki56400Did not deliver
Shun Yoshida1000Did not deliver

Sagan Tosu (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Keiya Sento38309032Excellent
Nanasei Iino35266802Good
Seok Ho Hwang28214101Good
Yoshihiro Nakano29191811Good
Keita Yamashita35170990Excellent
Toshio Shimakawa27153700Below expectations
Noriyoshi Sakai33151882Fair
Ryohei Shirasaki1297311Fair
Kei Koizumi1177700Fair
Yuto Iwasaki1456710Below expectations
Masaya Tashiro3134000Did not deliver
Ismael Dunga1010500Did not deliver
Yuto Uchida52100Did not deliver
Chico Ofoedu3100Did not deliver

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Júnior Santos36194972Good
Yuta Imazu25103301Did not deliver
Shun Ayukawa2461410Did not deliver
Tsukasa Shiotani530810Fair
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi4900Did not deliver
Goro Kawanami1000Did not deliver
Osamu Iyoha *0000Investment

Shimizu S-pulse (18 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Shuichi Gonda38342000Good
Thiago Santana373190122Excellent
Teruki Hara29255322Good
Eiichi Katayama29246520Good
Yoshinori Suzuki26179620Below expectations
Katsuhiro Nakayama29156421Fair
Daiki Matsuoka15134600Fair
Akira Ibayashi16133601Fair
Keita Nakamura2084613Fair
Ronaldo1182101Fair
Noriaki Fujimoto958411Fair
Akira Silvano Disaro2656411Below expectations
Benjamin Kololli853500Below expectations
Naoya Fukumori1635600Did not deliver
Hiroshi Ibusuki1719300Did not deliver
Reon Yamahara *613401Investment
William Matheus1000Did not deliver
Kengo Nagai37000Did not deliver

Shonan Bellmare (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Shuto Machino31179444Good
Wellington27162161Good
Shintaro Nago20116631Fair
Shun Nakamura1174801Fair
Masaki Ikeda2273001Did not deliver
Shuto Yamamoto870400Fair
Welinton Junior44400Did not deliver
Shunya Mori21401Did not deliver

Tokushima Vortis (22 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ken Iwao37314433Excellent
Takeru Kishimoto36311052Excellent
Naoto Kamifukumoto37306000Below expectations
Taisei Miyashiro32255972Good
Yuki Kakita36234982Excellent
Shota Fukuoka34227900Did not deliver
Cacá26227610Fair
Diego33215200Fair
Tokuma Suzuki34204802Fair
Kazuki Nishiya23154413Fair
Joel Chima Fujita31147811Below expectations
Akira Hamashita20104801Below expectations
Hidenori Ishii1581610Did not deliver
Dušan Cvetinović2079100Did not deliver
Taiki Tamukai1460200Did not deliver
Cristian Battocchio1056300Below expectations
Seiya Fujita2142900Did not deliver
Kazunari Ichimi1241120Below expectations
Atsushi Kawata1640500Did not deliver
Takashi Abe732800Did not deliver
Akihiro Sato55800Did not deliver
Yuto Uchida25300Did not deliver

Urawa (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Takahiro Akimoto33258141Good
Yoshio Koizumi34240925Excellent
Daigo Nishi26175313Fair
Kasper Junker21130391Excellent
Alexander Scholz15123701Fair
Ataru Esaka16121651Excellent
Hiroki Sakai14116120Good
Tatsuya Tanaka30104242Fair
Yuichi Hirano13100401Fair
Daiki Kaneko1845200Did not deliver
Kosuke Kinoshita22200Did not deliver

Vegalta Sendai (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Rikiya Uehara34257814Excellent
Ryoma Kida30154630Fair
Naoya Fukumori1589000Did not deliver
Cayman Togashi1285832Fair
Quenten Martinus1673330Fair
Felippe Cardoso2373212Fair
Foguinho1461900Below expectations
Yusuke Minagawa1641501Did not deliver
Yosuke Akiyama316900Did not deliver
Emmanuel Oti712100Did not deliver

Vissel Kobe (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Tetsushi Yamakawa33174000Did not deliver
Yoshinori Muto14118657Excellent
Shion Inoue28102902Did not deliver
Yuya Osako1188344Fair
Lincoln1433010Fair
Ayub Timbe Masika1019002Did not deliver
Bojan Krkić715910Did not deliver
Ryotaro Hironaga1912200Did not deliver
Nagisa Sakurauchi109900Did not deliver

Yokohama F. Marinos (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Élber37255056Excellent
Tomoki Iwata37246601Fair
Léo Ceará271343105Excellent
Kenyu Sugimoto1133230Fair
Ryonosuke Kabayama57500Did not deliver
Ryo Miyaichi34600Did not deliver

Yokohama FC (19 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Hideto Takahashi25193601Below expectations
Han Hogang29180100Did not deliver
Yuya Takagi30175713Fair
Yota Maejima27173011Fair
Ryo Germain31165022Fair
Svend Brodersen16144000Below expectations
Kazuma Watanabe36136540Below expectations
Katsuya Iwatake22119101Did not deliver
Kleber20116731Good
Keijiro Ogawa26106111Did not deliver
Gabriel1182501Fair
Saulo1168240Fair
Sho Ito1553700Did not deliver
Arthur Feitoza1149411Fair
Felipe Vizeu1348120Fair
Daiki Nakashio736000Did not deliver
Riku Furuyado39400Did not deliver
Ryo Tabei *0000Investment
Haruki Saruta *0000Investment
Signings Report · J1 League 2021 · January 3, 2022