SigningLab · Annual Report

Signing Accuracy — Premier League 2024/25

Published on January 13, 2025

Executive Summary

164
Real signings
139
Evaluated
35%
Clubs' average hit rate
28
Successful
70
Unsuccessful

In total we identified 164 real signings by the clubs of Premier League in the 2024/25 season — academy promotions, loan returns, internal moves and transfers that never went through are excluded. Of these, 139 are included in the hit-rate calculation; 25 are youth investments (under-23 with no game time), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes in the season count as unsuccessful.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague positionSigningsEvaluatedSuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulHit rate %SigningLab*
1Arsenal44211
62%
100%
2Bournemouth74211
62%
50%
3Manchester City64211
62%
100%
4Chelsea97322
57%
100%
5Aston Villa98332
56%
88%
6Brighton109342
56%
100%
7Nottingham Forest88314
44%
62%
8Crystal Palace12º118224
38%
62%
9West Ham14º108143
38%
75%
10Brentford10º74031
38%
100%
11Ipswich19º1615438
37%
73%
12Wolves16º108134
31%
75%
13Fulham11º77043
29%
71%
14Manchester United15º77205
29%
43%
15Everton13º88035
19%
100%
16Tottenham17º76024
17%
83%
17Newcastle43012
17%
100%
18Southampton20º14120210
8%
83%
19Leicester18º88017
6%
88%
20Liverpool21001
0%
100%

* SigningLab: hit rate of SigningLab’s verdicts (recommend or not recommend) on each club’s evaluated signings, projected at the time of signing.

The difference between Signings and Evaluated are youth investments (under-23 with no game time in the season), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes are unsuccessful (Did not deliver).

Season Highlights

The ten signings with the greatest technical impact of the season, according to the Player Impact Score (PIS).

PlayerClubPosMinG+AAvg ratingRatingSigningLab
Dean HuijsenBournemouthD24223+25.91Excellent
Mikel MerinoArsenalM16027+27.07Excellent
Omar MarmoushManchester CityF11907+07.31Excellent
Nikola MilenkovićNottingham ForestD33305+27.13Excellent
Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestM27422+67.04Excellent
Yankuba MintehBrightonM18556+46.77Good
SávioManchester CityF17701+85.51Good
Donyell MalenAston VillaF3323+05.18Good
Mats WiefferBrightonM10451+35.87Good
Ismaila SarrCrystal PalaceM27198+67.08Good

Methodology

Club assessment — the universe of signings

The report considers exclusively genuine signings for the first-team squad, identified by the player's effective incorporation into the group between seasons. Excluded from the universe are: academy promotions, loan returns, internal administrative moves and transfers recorded but never completed. The aim is to measure the quality of market decisions — and those alone.

Player Impact Score (PIS)

Each evaluated signing receives a score from 0 to 100 that combines four observable technical dimensions: individual performance (average match ratings over the season), output (goals, assists and decisive actions adjusted for game time), collective performance (starting status and correlation with the club's results) and availability (volume of matches, adjusted for interruptions). High-impact players with reduced game time are promoted through an alternative efficiency criterion.

Outcome classification

The rating tiers are: Excellent and Good (successful signings — a full point in the index), Fair (intermediate performance — half a point) and Below expectations / Did not deliver (unsuccessful signings). Two categories sit outside the calculation, for distinct reasons: Injury (a serious injury prevented a fair assessment) and Investment (an under-23 player with low game time — the return depends on development and cannot be counted for or against the club in this cycle). Signings that did not reach relevant game time in the season are classified as unsuccessful, reflecting the sporting cost of the decision.

A note on scope

This is SigningLab's public, simplified model, developed for transparent retrospective market assessment. SigningLab's commercial solutions for partner clubs use a substantially larger set of variables and dedicated predictive mechanisms, and are not fully reflected in this document.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time in the season) — outside the hit-rate calculation.

Arsenal (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Mikel Merino28160272Excellent
Riccardo Calafiori2298421Good
Raheem Sterling2950902Fair
Neto33000Did not deliver

Aston Villa (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Amadou Onana28163130Fair
Ian Maatsen37116412Fair
Marco Asensio1374531Good
Ross Barkley2461431Good
Axel Disasi1148800Below expectations
Marcus Rashford1044422Fair
Donyell Malen1733230Good
Kosta Nedeljković *1613000Investment
Lino Sousa0000Did not deliver

Bournemouth (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Kepa Arrizabalaga32279000Fair
Dean Huijsen38242232Excellent
Evanilson322335101Good
Julian Araujo1951600Did not deliver
Daniel Jebbison *2018010Investment
Julio Soler *132400Investment
Matai Akinmboni *8000Investment

Brentford (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sepp van den Berg32258800Fair
Michael Kayode1353701Fair
Fabio Carvalho2545521Fair
Thiago817400Did not deliver
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson *3814400Investment
Yunus Konak *367200Investment
Gustavo Nunes *71100Investment

Brighton (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Yankuba Minteh33185564Good
Georginio Rutter28167253Fair
Mats Wieffer28104513Good
Matt O'Riley2496422Good
Brajan Gruda2869814Fair
Diego Gómez1751210Fair
Ferdi Kadıoğlu738810Fair
Eiran Joe Cashin *111900Investment
Jacob Slater3000Did not deliver
Adrian Mazilu0000Did not deliver

Chelsea (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Pedro Neto36228646Good
Jadon Sancho32177334Good
Tosin Adarabioyo38144011Fair
Filip Jørgensen3754000Fair
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall2629701Good
Renato Veiga *2018400Investment
Marc Guiu *137100Investment
Marcus Bettinelli5000Did not deliver
Omari Kellyman0000Did not deliver

Crystal Palace (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Maxence Lacroix35311811Good
Ismaila Sarr38271986Good
Daichi Kamada35159300Fair
Trevoh Chalobah14106330Fair
Edward Nketiah31104531Below expectations
Ben Chilwell1226210Below expectations
Romain Esse *1514611Investment
Chadi Riad *69000Investment
Rob Holding1000Did not deliver
Matt Turner32000Did not deliver
Louie Moulden *0000Investment

Everton (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Iliman Ndiaye33244090Fair
Jake O'Brien37157420Fair
Orel Mangala19125510Did not deliver
Jesper Lindstrøm28124501Did not deliver
Carlos Alcaraz1576123Fair
Tim Iroegbunam2258201Did not deliver
Armando Broja1333600Did not deliver
João Virgínia38000Did not deliver

Fulham (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Joachim Andersen31257300Fair
Sander Berge31223200Fair
Emile Smith Rowe34206163Fair
Ryan Sessegnon3260442Fair
Reiss Nelson1148611Below expectations
Jorge Cuenca2635800Did not deliver
Steven Benda38000Did not deliver

Ipswich (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Dara O'Shea36312302Good
Liam Delap372612122Below expectations
Jacob Greaves27220510Good
Jens Cajuste33197511Below expectations
Arijanet Murić26162000Good
Ben Johnson32136612Did not deliver
Kalvin Phillips25123900Below expectations
Jack Clarke35118604Fair
Alex Palmer13117000Good
Sammie Szmodics22100140Below expectations
Julio Enciso1387623Fair
Jayden Philogene-Bidace1147420Below expectations
Conor Townsend3234201Fair
Chiedozie Ogbene724000Did not deliver
Ben Godfrey1115900Did not deliver
Cieran Slicker *4000Investment

Leicester (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Bilal El Khannouss35220523Fair
Jordan Ayew36168150Did not deliver
Facundo Buonanotte34153852Below expectations
Oliver Skipp35114300Did not deliver
Caleb Okoli37112810Did not deliver
Bobby Reid3278812Did not deliver
Woyo Coulibaly1010700Did not deliver
Odsonne Édouard73700Did not deliver

Liverpool (2 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Federico Chiesa1911600Did not deliver
Marcelo Pitaluga *0000Investment

Manchester City (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sávio36177018Good
Omar Marmoush16119070Excellent
Nico González1476310Fair
Abdukodir Khusanov1150400Below expectations
Divin Mubama *52700Investment
Claudio Echeverri *11100Investment

Manchester United (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Noussair Mazraoui37285701Good
Matthijs de Ligt30213720Good
Manuel Ugarte32179612Below expectations
Joshua Zirkzee32141531Below expectations
Leny Yoro21116900Did not deliver
Patrick Dorgu1284200Below expectations
Altay Bayındır3136000Did not deliver

Newcastle (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Lloyd Kelly2433501Fair
William Osula *3816810Investment
Odysseas Vlachodimos10000Did not deliver
John Ruddy8000Did not deliver

Nottingham Forest (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nikola Milenković37333052Excellent
Elliot Anderson37274226Excellent
Álex Moreno2796701Did not deliver
Morato3492200Below expectations
Jota Silva3789131Fair
James Ward-Prowse1841201Good
Ramón Sosa3232710Did not deliver
Carlos Miguel33000Did not deliver

Southampton (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Mateus Fernandes36291924Fair
Aaron Ramsdale30270000Fair
Lesley Ugochukwu32166411Did not deliver
Yukinari Sugawara35156411Below expectations
Cameron Archer37145220Did not deliver
Nathan Wood2577800Did not deliver
Welington1348600Did not deliver
Ben Brereton Díaz1445800Did not deliver
Adam Lallana2037702Below expectations
Charlie Taylor1436200Did not deliver
Joe Lumley827000Did not deliver
Albert Grønbæk *615000Investment
Maxwel Cornet57100Did not deliver
Ronnie Edwards *31200Investment

Tottenham (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Dominic Solanke28220693Fair
Archie Gray38176400Did not deliver
Mathys Tel1493421Below expectations
Wilson Odobert1684910Did not deliver
Kevin Danso1084300Fair
Brandon Austin139000Did not deliver
Alfie Devine *1000Investment

West Ham (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Max Kilman38334901Fair
Aaron Wan-Bissaka37315425Good
Jean-Clair Todibo32185500Below expectations
Carlos Soler33141911Did not deliver
Guido Rodríguez36117201Fair
Crysencio Summerville2079111Fair
Niclas Füllkrug1978832Fair
Luis Guilherme *3417600Investment
Evan Ferguson *1215700Investment
Wes Foderingham9000Did not deliver

Wolves (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jørgen Strand Larsen352599144Fair
André35249500Fair
Emmanuel Agbadou16141110Good
Marshall Munetsi14107921Fair
Rodrigo Gomes3482320Did not deliver
Sam Johnstone2363000Did not deliver
Carlos Borges2724100Below expectations
Pedro Lima *217000Investment
Nasser Djiga *136500Investment
Tom King3100Did not deliver