SigningLab · Annual Report

Signing Accuracy — Premier League 2023/24

Published on January 8, 2024

Executive Summary

164
Real signings
151
Evaluated
41%
Clubs' average hit rate
43
Successful
72
Unsuccessful

In total we identified 164 real signings by the clubs of Premier League in the 2023/24 season — academy promotions, loan returns, internal moves and transfers that never went through are excluded. Of these, 151 are included in the hit-rate calculation; 13 are youth investments (under-23 with no game time), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes in the season count as unsuccessful.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague positionSigningsEvaluatedSuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulHit rate %
1Brentford16º65401
80%
2Tottenham97412
64%
3Arsenal54211
62%
4Luton18º1313454
50%
5Chelsea1310424
50%
6Fulham14º87232
50%
7Crystal Palace10º66303
50%
8West Ham66303
50%
9Liverpool54202
50%
10Aston Villa66213
42%
11Everton12º55122
40%
12Burnley19º1514275
39%
13Manchester City44112
38%
14Manchester United77214
36%
15Nottingham Forest17º1614338
32%
16Sheffield Utd20º1212318
29%
17Bournemouth13º99054
28%
18Brighton11º88116
19%
19Newcastle55014
10%
20Wolves15º65014
10%

The difference between Signings and Evaluated are youth investments (under-23 with no game time in the season), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes are unsuccessful (Did not deliver).

Season Highlights

The ten signings with the greatest technical impact of the season, according to the Player Impact Score (PIS).

PlayerClubPosMinG+AAvg ratingRating
Cole PalmerChelseaM261422+117.75Excellent
Declan RiceArsenalD32307+87.45Excellent
Kai HavertzArsenalM263913+77.22Excellent
James Ward-ProwseWest HamM30197+77.30Excellent
James MaddisonTottenhamM21524+97.55Excellent
Nicolas JacksonChelseaF280414+57.03Excellent
Alexis Mac AllisterLiverpoolM26115+57.27Excellent
João PedroBrightonF20459+37.21Excellent
Ross BarkleyLutonF26225+47.16Excellent
Brennan JohnsonTottenhamF20915+106.94Excellent

Methodology

Club assessment — the universe of signings

The report considers exclusively genuine signings for the first-team squad, identified by the player's effective incorporation into the group between seasons. Excluded from the universe are: academy promotions, loan returns, internal administrative moves and transfers recorded but never completed. The aim is to measure the quality of market decisions — and those alone.

Player Impact Score (PIS)

Each evaluated signing receives a score from 0 to 100 that combines four observable technical dimensions: individual performance (average match ratings over the season), output (goals, assists and decisive actions adjusted for game time), collective performance (starting status and correlation with the club's results) and availability (volume of matches, adjusted for interruptions). High-impact players with reduced game time are promoted through an alternative efficiency criterion.

Outcome classification

The rating tiers are: Excellent and Good (successful signings — a full point in the index), Fair (intermediate performance — half a point) and Below expectations / Did not deliver (unsuccessful signings). Two categories sit outside the calculation, for distinct reasons: Injury (a serious injury prevented a fair assessment) and Investment (an under-23 player with low game time — the return depends on development and cannot be counted for or against the club in this cycle). Signings that did not reach relevant game time in the season are classified as unsuccessful, reflecting the sporting cost of the decision.

A note on scope

This is SigningLab's public, simplified model, developed for transparent retrospective market assessment. SigningLab's commercial solutions for partner clubs use a substantially larger set of variables and dedicated predictive mechanisms, and are not fully reflected in this document.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time in the season) — outside the hit-rate calculation.

Arsenal (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Declan Rice38323078Excellent
David Raya35288000Fair
Kai Havertz372639137Excellent
Jurriën Timber *27100Investment
Omar Rekik0000Did not deliver

Aston Villa (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Pau Torres34246320Fair
Moussa Diaby38219768Excellent
Youri Tielemans32164126Good
Clément Lenglet34115501Did not deliver
Nicolò Zaniolo3084620Below expectations
Morgan Rogers1464031Below expectations

Bournemouth (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Miloš Kerkez31198301Fair
Justin Kluivert38194271Fair
Max Aarons25124901Did not deliver
Alex Scott25101711Fair
Luis Sinisterra2469922Fair
Enes Ünal1636322Fair
Ionuț Radu1318000Did not deliver
Tyler Adams511800Did not deliver
Romain Faivre136100Did not deliver

Brentford (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Mark Flekken37328501Good
Nathan Collins33264911Good
Neal Maupay31134163Good
Sergio Reguilón16112304Good
Thomas Strakosha3413500Did not deliver
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson *4000Investment

Brighton (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
João Pedro31204593Excellent
Bart Verbruggen38189000Did not deliver
Igor Júlio34163600Did not deliver
Carlos Baleba34136200Did not deliver
James Milner1777802Fair
Ansu Fati2452220Below expectations
Mahmoud Dahoud1745401Did not deliver
Valentín Barco1030800Did not deliver

Burnley (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sander Berge37300512Good
Dara O'Shea34289434Good
Wilson Odobert33211832Fair
Zeki Amdouni38199951Fair
Maxime Estève16131200Fair
Jacob Bruun Larsen37127960Fair
Lorenz Assignon15123712Fair
Luca Koleosho1598411Fair
David Datro Fofana1690141Fair
Hannes Delcroix2260200Did not deliver
Aaron Ramsey1752400Did not deliver
Mike Trésor2543600Did not deliver
Nathan Redmond1514500Did not deliver
Han-Noah Massengo *82000Investment
Lawrence Vigouroux5000Did not deliver

Chelsea (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Moisés Caicedo35287213Excellent
Nicolas Jackson352804145Excellent
Cole Palmer3326142211Excellent
Axel Disasi35259020Fair
Đorđe Petrović35199400Did not deliver
Malo Gusto28176106Good
Robert Sanchez18143400Below expectations
Christopher Nkunku1243830Fair
Lesley Ugochukwu1731100Did not deliver
Roméo Lavia *23200Investment
Deivid Washington *191900Investment
Andrey Santos *1000Investment
Marcus Bettinelli18000Did not deliver

Crystal Palace (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jefferson Lerma28240311Good
Dean Henderson25162000Did not deliver
Daniel Muñoz16143904Good
Adam Wharton16130503Good
Matheus França1923801Did not deliver
Rob Holding10000Did not deliver

Everton (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ashley Young32229900Fair
Jack Harrison30222533Good
Beto3297330Fair
Arnaut Danjuma2859510Did not deliver
Youssef Chermiti3623000Did not deliver

Fulham (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Timothy Castagne35263413Good
Calvin Bassey33230010Fair
Alex Iwobi30220252Excellent
Raúl Jiménez29143670Fair
Adama Traoré1940423Fair
Armando Broja *1211501Investment
Fodé Ballo-Touré228000Did not deliver
Steven Benda0000Did not deliver

Liverpool (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Alexis Mac Allister33261155Excellent
Dominik Szoboszlai33212332Good
Wataru Endo33174210Below expectations
Ryan Gravenberch31113810Below expectations
Luke Chambers *4000Investment

Luton (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Thomas Kaminski38340600Good
Ross Barkley32262254Excellent
Teden Mengi33247010Fair
Chiedozie Ogbene30199341Good
Tahith Chong38199340Fair
Issa Kaboré28173202Fair
Albert Sambi Lokonga17130813Good
Andros Townsend30122813Fair
Jacob Brown21102020Fair
Daiki Hashioka1359500Did not deliver
Ryan Giles2051900Did not deliver
Mads Juel Andersen1239910Did not deliver
Tim Krul37000Did not deliver

Manchester City (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Joško Gvardiol35232841Fair
Jérémy Doku31159938Excellent
Mateo Kovačić34158110Below expectations
Matheus Nunes3366102Did not deliver

Manchester United (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
André Onana38342000Good
Rasmus Højlund302169102Excellent
Jonny Evans26141801Below expectations
Sofyan Amrabat2994400Did not deliver
Mason Mount1454110Fair
Sergio Reguilón1442900Did not deliver
Altay Bayındır33000Did not deliver

Newcastle (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Valentino Livramento33131210Below expectations
Lewis Hall3379810Did not deliver
Harvey Barnes2179453Fair
Sandro Tonali943910Below expectations
Mark Gillespie12000Did not deliver

Nottingham Forest (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Murillo32279302Good
Anthony Elanga36243459Excellent
Callum Hudson-Odoi30186481Good
Ola Aina25171911Fair
Matt Turner38153000Did not deliver
Nicolás Domínguez32151822Fair
Matz Sels16144000Fair
Ibrahim Sangaré24104300Did not deliver
Gonzalo Montiel2480902Did not deliver
Andrew Omobamidele1978200Did not deliver
Divock Origi2760701Did not deliver
Nuno Tavares1346200Did not deliver
Odysseas Vlachodimos1945000Did not deliver
Giovanni Reyna1323001Below expectations
Rodrigo Ribeiro *122800Investment
Andrey Santos *61200Investment

Sheffield Utd (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gustavo Hamer36292346Excellent
Vinícius Souza38267910Fair
Auston Trusty38260400Below expectations
Cameron Archer29185641Good
Ben Brereton Díaz15111061Good
Luke Thomas1691800Did not deliver
Ivo Grbić1477200Did not deliver
Mason Holgate1271300Did not deliver
Yasser Larouci3453300Did not deliver
Anis Ben Slimane2843400Did not deliver
Benie Traore1939100Did not deliver
Tom Davies1021400Did not deliver

Tottenham (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Guglielmo Vicario38342000Good
Micky van de Ven28234230Good
James Maddison28215249Excellent
Brennan Johnson322091510Excellent
Timo Werner1382423Fair
Radu Drăguşin1844900Did not deliver
Manor Solomon720802Below expectations
Alejo Veliz *137010Investment
Ashley Phillips *7000Investment

West Ham (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
James Ward-Prowse37301977Excellent
Mohammed Kudus33248486Excellent
Edson Álvarez32238311Good
Konstantinos Mavropanos29150110Did not deliver
Kalvin Phillips1230700Did not deliver
Luizão0000Did not deliver

Wolves (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Thomas Doyle32124600Did not deliver
Matt Doherty38119110Did not deliver
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde2296421Fair
Santiago Bueno3082000Did not deliver
Yerson Mosquera *1000Investment
Tom King4000Did not deliver