Signings Report — Premier League 2022/23

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on November 30, 2022
196
Real signings
187
Evaluated
33%
Average hit rate
39
Successful
▼ 6 p.p.
vs 2021/22 season

We identified 196 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 9 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1Leeds19º101034350%42%
2Everton17º9940544%39%
3Liverpool5420250%38%
4Newcastle7722343%38%
5Manchester United101032540%37%
6Fulham10º131342738%36%
7Arsenal8721436%34%
8Chelsea12º131324731%32%
9Wolves13º131316631%32%
10West Ham14º101014530%31%
11Aston Villa9720529%31%
12Tottenham8712429%31%
13Nottingham Forest16º2625391330%31%
14Bournemouth15º121223729%31%
15Southampton20º121223729%31%
16Brighton4410325%30%
17Leicester18º4410325%30%
18Brentford6611425%29%
19Manchester City8812525%29%
20Crystal Palace11º9610517%26%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (33%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)8925%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)10740%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
Erling HaalandManchester CityF277636+87.17Excellent
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestM29785+87.03Excellent
Gabriel JesusArsenalF207411+67.08Excellent
WillianFulhamF21455+57.07Excellent
CasemiroManchester UnitedM21334+37.21Excellent
Alexander IsakNewcastleF152310+17.01Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

Arsenal (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Oleksandr Zinchenko27213312Excellent
Gabriel Jesus262074116Excellent
Leandro Trossard20929110Fair
Jorginho1985601Below expectations
Fábio Vieira3652212Below expectations
Jakub Kiwior1843110Did not deliver
Marquinhos *15100Investment
Matt Turner37000Did not deliver

Aston Villa (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Boubacar Kamara24178301Good
Álex Moreno19133503Good
Leander Dendoncker2771900Did not deliver
Diego Carlos1420400Did not deliver
Jhon Durán *1715000Investment
Jan Bednarek139800Did not deliver
Ludwig Augustinsson127600Did not deliver
Finn Azaz *0000Investment
Caleb Chukwuemeka0000Did not deliver

Bournemouth (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcos Senesi36249520Fair
Neto30238500Fair
Marcus Tavernier23174954Excellent
Dango Ouattara19124413Good
Jack Stephens30117900Did not deliver
Joe Rothwell27102701Below expectations
Ryan Fredericks1453100Did not deliver
Matías Viña1646820Below expectations
Hamed Junior Traorè742900Fair
Illia Zabarnyi1130400Did not deliver
Antoine Semenyo1528310Below expectations
Darren Randolph3000Did not deliver

Brentford (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ben Mee38327231Excellent
Aaron Hickey28193001Fair
Mikkel Damsgaard3598800Did not deliver
Kevin Schade2073401Below expectations
Keane Lewis-Potter1931701Did not deliver
Thomas Strakosha17000Did not deliver

Brighton (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Pervis Estupiñán36269115Excellent
Levi Colwill28122002Below expectations
Deniz Undav3664050Below expectations
Billy Gilmour3052101Did not deliver

Chelsea (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Raheem Sterling29191063Good
Kalidou Koulibaly29180021Fair
Marc Cucurella27167602Fair
Enzo Fernández18155102Good
Wesley Fofana16118710Fair
João Félix1794840Fair
Benoît Badiashile1891210Did not deliver
Mykhaylo Mudryk1966102Below expectations
Noni Madueke1665110Below expectations
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang2055610Below expectations
Denis Zakaria1641300Did not deliver
Carney Chukwuemeka2135000Did not deliver
Marcus Bettinelli17000Did not deliver

Crystal Palace (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Cheick Doucouré35278403Good
Sam Johnstone3081000Did not deliver
Albert Sambi Lokonga1754200Did not deliver
Chris Richards2744300Did not deliver
Naouirou Ahamada *119200Investment
Malcolm Ebiowei173600Did not deliver
Kofi Balmer *3000Investment
Luke Plange2000Did not deliver
Jake O'Brien *0000Investment

Everton (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
James Tarkowski38342011Excellent
Idrissa Gueye33259201Good
Amadou Onana34250512Good
Dwight McNeil38250173Excellent
Conor Coady35209511Below expectations
Nathan Patterson21127700Below expectations
Neal Maupay33113210Below expectations
James Garner2180401Below expectations
Rúben Vinagre213000Did not deliver

Fulham (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Bernd Leno38324000Good
João Palhinha35311330Excellent
Andreas Pereira33271446Excellent
Willian27214555Excellent
Issa Diop37200810Below expectations
Carlos Vinícius33114452Fair
Daniel James2861021Below expectations
Manor Solomon2258140Fair
Saša Lukić1641600Did not deliver
Cédric Soares1520600Did not deliver
Kevin Mbabu1414101Did not deliver
Layvin Kurzawa913600Did not deliver
Shane Duffy301700Did not deliver

Leeds (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Brenden Aaronson38239213Good
Marc Roca35234612Good
Tyler Adams24215700Good
Rasmus Kristensen37196131Fair
Weston McKennie19143901Fair
Maximilian Wöber17126500Fair
Luis Sinisterra2088350Fair
Joel Robles2736000Did not deliver
Georginio Rutter2026901Did not deliver
Sonny Perkins2000Did not deliver

Leicester (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Wout Faes31278712Excellent
Harry Souttar1899101Did not deliver
Tetê1873910Below expectations
Alex Smithies3000Did not deliver

Liverpool (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Darwin Núñez29169893Excellent
Cody Gakpo21146572Excellent
Fabio Carvalho3135620Did not deliver
Arthur7000Did not deliver
Calvin Ramsay *1000Investment

Manchester City (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Erling Haaland362776368Excellent
Manuel Akanji30228601Fair
Julián Álvarez37148890Fair
Sergio Gómez3235001Did not deliver
Kalvin Phillips2730700Did not deliver
Stefan Ortega3827000Did not deliver
Alex Robertson2000Did not deliver
Slobodan Tedić0000Did not deliver

Manchester United (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Casemiro28213343Excellent
Lisandro Martínez27211610Fair
Christian Eriksen29206718Excellent
Antony25182342Excellent
Tyrell Malacia37139900Did not deliver
Wout Weghorst2080701Below expectations
Marcel Sabitzer1262701Fair
Jack Butland12000Did not deliver
Martin Dúbravka4000Did not deliver
Reece Devine0000Did not deliver

Newcastle (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nick Pope37326200Good
Sven Botman38312900Fair
Alexander Isak221523101Excellent
Anthony Gordon1649110Fair
Mark Gillespie1000Did not deliver
Loris Karius8000Did not deliver
Harrison Ashby2000Did not deliver

Nottingham Forest (26 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Morgan Gibbs-White35297858Excellent
Renan Lodi30222001Fair
Remo Freuler36216500Below expectations
Serge Aurier24194910Good
Neco Williams33189510Fair
Dean Henderson18162000Fair
Orel Mangala32155611Fair
Keylor Navas17152900Fair
Taiwo Awoniyi291434101Good
Felipe17141901Fair
Moussa Niakhaté15116200Below expectations
Danilo Dos Santos De Oliveira1697932Fair
Harry Toffolo2995600Did not deliver
Jesse Lingard2992700Did not deliver
Cheikhou Kouyaté2289410Fair
Emmanuel Dennis3173322Below expectations
Willy Boly2068701Did not deliver
Lewis O'Brien1558710Below expectations
Jonjo Shelvey1054100Did not deliver
Chris Wood737610Fair
André Ayew1831300Did not deliver
Wayne Hennessey3727100Did not deliver
Gustavo Scarpa917900Did not deliver
Giulian Biancone102200Did not deliver
Loïc Badé *1000Investment
Omar Richards0000Did not deliver

Southampton (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gavin Bazunu38288000Fair
Roméo Lavia29223910Good
Armel Bella-Kotchap26188602Fair
Ainsley Maitland-Niles27140700Did not deliver
Joe Aribo29122820Below expectations
Carlos Alcaraz20104842Good
Kamaldeen Sulemana1896721Fair
Duje Ćaleta-Car2694410Did not deliver
Sékou Mara3356812Below expectations
Paul Onuachu1540900Did not deliver
James Bree636800Did not deliver
Mislav Oršić41100Did not deliver

Tottenham (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ivan Perišić37213318Good
Clément Lenglet37203002Below expectations
Fraser Forster38121500Did not deliver
Pedro Porro17113433Fair
Yves Bissouma25102900Below expectations
Richarlison29102313Fair
Arnaut Danjuma1717010Did not deliver
Djed Spence *122000Investment

West Ham (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Thilo Kehrer35223402Fair
Lucas Paquetá29216943Good
Nayef Aguerd21159520Fair
Emerson Palmieri35133310Did not deliver
Gianluca Scamacca2092830Fair
Danny Ings1977022Fair
Flynn Downes3776300Did not deliver
Maxwel Cornet2027500Did not deliver
Armstrong Oko-Flex1000Did not deliver
Ademipo Odubeko0000Did not deliver

Wolves (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Matheus Nunes35247411Good
Nathan Collins35181600Did not deliver
Craig Dawson18141510Fair
Mario Lemina19130301Fair
Diego Costa25125510Fair
Matheus Cunha2098320Fair
Pablo Sarabia1877010Below expectations
Gonçalo Guedes1771811Fair
João Gomes1765010Did not deliver
Boubacar Traoré1141601Fair
Daniel Bentley1818000Did not deliver
Saša Kalajdžić14500Did not deliver
Hayao Kawabe0000Did not deliver
Signings Report · Premier League 2022/23 · November 30, 2022