Signings Report — Premier League 2021/22

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on January 3, 2022
116
Real signings
110
Evaluated
38%
Average hit rate
28
Successful
▲ 0 p.p.
vs 2020/21 season

We identified 116 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 6 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1Aston Villa14º8841356%47%
2Crystal Palace12º8841356%47%
3Tottenham6522160%47%
4Wolves10º3320167%46%
5Newcastle11º6614150%43%
6Burnley18º6521250%43%
7Manchester United4412150%42%
8Brighton4311150%42%
9Manchester City1101050%40%
10Leeds17º6411238%38%
11Watford19º141442836%37%
12Liverpool2201125%36%
13Arsenal5503230%35%
14Norwich20º8821531%35%
15Brentford13º7712429%34%
16Leicester5502320%31%
17Southampton15º5510420%31%
18West Ham5510420%31%
19Chelsea4401312%30%
20Everton16º9811619%29%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (38%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)3635%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)8039%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
Cristiano RonaldoManchester UnitedF245818+37.26Excellent
Conor GallagherCrystal PalaceM28598+37.12Excellent
Emmanuel DennisWatfordF258910+66.85Excellent
Dejan KulusevskiTottenhamM12655+87.21Excellent
Demarai GrayEvertonM23555+46.94Excellent
Philippe CoutinhoAston VillaM13385+37.13Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

Arsenal (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Aaron Ramsdale36306000Fair
Ben White34288000Fair
Takehiro Tomiyasu22168201Fair
Nuno Tavares38118711Did not deliver
Albert Sambi Lokonga37113300Did not deliver

Aston Villa (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Danny Ings33190976Good
Emiliano Buendía37190846Good
Philippe Coutinho19133853Excellent
Lucas Digne16127204Good
Ashley Young36124502Below expectations
Calum Chambers1783810Below expectations
Leon Bailey2075612Fair
Robin Olsen189000Did not deliver

Brentford (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Kristoffer Ajer27198713Fair
Yoane Wissa33128571Good
Álvaro Fernández31108000Did not deliver
Frank Onyeka26105000Did not deliver
Christian Eriksen1193814Fair
Zanka1451710Did not deliver
Jonas Lössl1218000Did not deliver

Brighton (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marc Cucurella35309211Excellent
Enock Mwepu2499424Fair
Jason Steele339000Did not deliver
Kjell Scherpen *8000Investment

Burnley (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Maxwel Cornet28177691Good
Connor Roberts25169111Fair
Nathan Collins36167020Below expectations
Wout Weghorst20145823Good
Wayne Hennessey3818000Did not deliver
Lukas Jensen *0000Investment

Chelsea (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Romelu Lukaku29159380Fair
Trevoh Chalobah33145331Below expectations
Saúl Ñíguez3347800Did not deliver
Marcus Bettinelli7000Did not deliver

Crystal Palace (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marc Guéhi37323121Excellent
Joachim Andersen34292303Excellent
Conor Gallagher34285983Excellent
Odsonne Édouard35157163Fair
Michael Olise28115225Good
Will Hughes31106301Did not deliver
Nathan Ferguson4800Did not deliver
Remi Matthews7000Did not deliver

Everton (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Demarai Gray34235554Excellent
Andros Townsend25145832Fair
Vitaliy Mykolenko17106410Below expectations
Salomón Rondón3079311Below expectations
Donny van de Beek948310Below expectations
Dele Alli1833900Did not deliver
Asmir Begović3827000Did not deliver
Anwar El Ghazi102000Did not deliver
Nathan Patterson *6000Investment

Leeds (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Daniel James32237244Good
Junior Firpo25171502Fair
Joe Gelhardt3174322Below expectations
Leo Fuhr Hjelde *1614800Investment
Crysencio Summerville *2512900Investment
Amari Miller0000Did not deliver

Leicester (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ademola Lookman33145760Fair
Patson Daka36116653Fair
Boubakary Soumaré26110801Below expectations
Jannik Vestergaard2557000Did not deliver
Ryan Bertrand933800Did not deliver

Liverpool (2 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ibrahima Konaté3799000Did not deliver
Luis Díaz1696043Fair

Manchester City (1 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jack Grealish34192733Fair

Manchester United (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Cristiano Ronaldo302458183Excellent
Jadon Sancho32190233Fair
Raphaël Varane24183511Fair
Tom Heaton14000Did not deliver

Newcastle (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Matt Targett16144000Fair
Dan Burn17144001Fair
Chris Wood18132820Fair
Bruno Guimarães17103951Good
Kieran Trippier742920Fair
Mark Gillespie11000Did not deliver

Norwich (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Pierre Lees Melou37227010Fair
Milot Rashica32223612Good
Brandon Williams32212901Below expectations
Billy Gilmour31186601Below expectations
Josh Sargent26157821Good
Ozan Kabak1992400Did not deliver
Angus Gunn3881000Did not deliver
Christos Tzolis3033700Did not deliver

Southampton (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Armando Broja32197860Good
Romain Perraud35163301Did not deliver
Adam Armstrong37141422Below expectations
Lyanco2491200Did not deliver
Willy Caballero2118000Did not deliver

Tottenham (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Emerson34229511Fair
Cristian Romero24184610Fair
Rodrigo Bentancur17136504Good
Dejan Kulusevski18126558Excellent
Bryan Gil *1610000Investment
Pierluigi Gollini35000Did not deliver

Watford (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Moussa Sissoko36322121Good
Emmanuel Dennis332589106Excellent
Joshua King33226653Good
Juraj Kucka28193811Fair
Samir19167500Fair
Hassane Kamara19162510Good
Imrân Louza29141900Did not deliver
Edo Kayembe2079900Did not deliver
Danny Rose1568900Did not deliver
Oghenekaro Etebo1239700Did not deliver
Ozan Tufan1633800Did not deliver
Samuel Kalu1122900Did not deliver
Nicolas N'Koulou516800Did not deliver
Ashley Fletcher172800Did not deliver

West Ham (5 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Kurt Zouma25208010Good
Nikola Vlašić3256610Did not deliver
Alphonse Aréola389000Did not deliver
Alex Král32100Did not deliver
Armstrong Oko-Flex10000Did not deliver

Wolves (3 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
José Sá38328501Good
Hee-Chan Hwang31181951Good
Francisco Trincão37136321Below expectations
Signings Report · Premier League 2021/22 · January 3, 2022