Signings Report — Primera División 2021

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on January 3, 2022
185
Real signings
183
Evaluated
34%
Average hit rate
42
Successful
▼ 4 p.p.
vs 2020 season

We identified 185 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 2 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1Universidad de Chile11º7733164%48%
2Everton de Vina12º8833256%45%
3Nublense232386948%44%
4Curico Unido15º141352646%42%
5Cobresal101025345%40%
6Colo Colo6621342%38%
7A. Italiano9923439%37%
8Union La Calera131225538%36%
9Palestino121232733%34%
10Huachipato16º4402225%31%
11U. Catolica4410325%31%
12D. La Serena10º141432929%31%
13D. Melipilla14º2626461627%29%
14Antofagasta9920722%28%
15Union Espanola131322923%27%
16Santiago Wanderers17º7702514%25%
17O'Higgins13º660158%23%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (34%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)17235%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)1338%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
Gonzalo SosaD. MelipillaF255223+17.37Excellent
Nicolás GuerraNublenseF259911+67.12Excellent
Leonardo GilColo ColoM25348+47.37Excellent
Leandro BenegasCurico UnidoF193911+17.16Excellent
Nicolas VargasNublenseD26476+27.19Excellent
Cristian ZavalaD. MelipillaD23194+67.07Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

A. Italiano (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Michael Fuentes27194144Excellent
Roberto Cereceda23185201Fair
Lautaro Palacios321678102Good
Ivan Ochoa32150910Did not deliver
Federico González1136511Fair
Fabián Carmona1124910Fair
Gabriel Esparza58000Did not deliver
Diego Aravena56800Did not deliver
Alvaro Salazar8000Did not deliver

Antofagasta (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Andres Robles26225121Excellent
Nicolás Demartini25203120Good
Diego Torres26152001Below expectations
Diego Orellana27150200Did not deliver
Ivan Ledezma1967600Did not deliver
Jens Buss1857400Did not deliver
Agustín Ocampo1152600Below expectations
Cristofer Salas1346400Did not deliver
Leonardo Povea4600Did not deliver

Cobresal (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Francisco Ayala26214803Fair
Brayan Hurtado281778124Excellent
Matías Donoso20152061Excellent
Ivan Smith1471101Fair
Fernando Ponce650000Fair
Marcos Sebastian Pol1046622Fair
Juan Vieyra834700Did not deliver
Cristian Maidana532311Fair
Diego González Saavedra1022000Did not deliver
Sebastián Céspedes613500Did not deliver

Colo Colo (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Leonardo Gil29253484Excellent
Emiliano Amor24208610Good
Martín Rodríguez859601Fair
Miiko Albornoz1237300Did not deliver
Julio Fierro922900Did not deliver
Felipe Fritz29400Did not deliver

Curico Unido (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ronald de la Fuente30272302Good
Yerko Leiva27195933Good
Leandro Benegas231939111Excellent
Adrián Sánchez24185134Excellent
Pablo Martin Perafan31118200Did not deliver
Juan Carlos Espinoza18116400Did not deliver
Felipe Fritz1599641Good
Agustin Nadruz1077800Fair
Fernando Coniglio1264210Below expectations
Felipe Villagrán1460811Below expectations
Felipe Barrientos1554302Fair
Jean Pineda816801Did not deliver
Jordan Barroilhet611100Did not deliver
Favio Cabral *11300Investment

D. La Serena (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jimmy Martínez27211742Good
Felipe Jaramillo29178800Did not deliver
Matías Fernández28132523Fair
Jorge Benítez17128942Excellent
Leandro Díaz17128000Below expectations
Santiago Dittborn24126712Below expectations
Leonardo Valencia14124151Excellent
César Munder27113911Below expectations
Lucas Alarcón1380200Did not deliver
Victor Ramon1068100Did not deliver
Jaime Carreño1256600Did not deliver
Juan Cavallaro848840Fair
Rick214700Did not deliver
Ángelo Quiñones109600Did not deliver

D. Melipilla (26 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nicolás Peranic30273701Good
Gonzalo Sosa282552231Excellent
Cristian Zavala29231946Excellent
Alejandro Camargo27217211Good
Miguel Sanhueza27206901Fair
Gonzalo Lauler28198500Fair
Cristopher Mesias Sepulveda24139302Fair
Luis Haquín16132110Fair
Gustavo Guerreño1394321Fair
Miguel Escalona1588100Did not deliver
Andrés Segovia1380301Did not deliver
Carlos Suarez1979201Did not deliver
Joaquin Moya2163100Did not deliver
Joao Ortiz1361802Below expectations
Martin Lara1061600Below expectations
Franco Ortega1250200Did not deliver
Jose Luis Munoz1644001Did not deliver
Aaron Astullido1243810Did not deliver
Juan Duma1839910Fair
Matías Tellechea832400Did not deliver
Matías Colossi931900Did not deliver
José Luis Cabión84000Did not deliver
Rick13910Did not deliver
Nicolás Forttes31900Did not deliver
Brayan Valdivia21600Did not deliver
Mauro Lopes2200Did not deliver

Everton de Vina (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Diego Oyarzun29262600Good
Julio Barroso26220300Fair
Cecilio Waterman23195964Excellent
Christian Bravo27147322Good
Matias Campos944911Fair
Cristian Cañozales1042410Below expectations
César Valenzuela528100Fair
Luis Santelices31000Did not deliver

Huachipato (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Luciano Nequecaur1580641Fair
Gonzalo Montes1476911Fair
César Huanca1324310Did not deliver
Carlos Lobos22800Did not deliver

Nublense (23 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nicolas Vargas29264762Excellent
Bernardo Cerezo29262130Good
Nicolás Guerra312599116Excellent
Jovany Campusano29254702Excellent
Federico Mateos30250844Excellent
Nicola Pérez31228700Below expectations
Enzo Guerrero25195302Fair
Matias Moya23151861Good
Esteban Carvajal22134600Below expectations
Manuel Rivera29130000Did not deliver
Fernando Cordero23126713Good
Mathías Pinto16117330Good
Roberto Gutierrez22102931Fair
Maximiliano Quinteros3096262Fair
Rafael Caroca2392200Did not deliver
Branco Provoste2062610Did not deliver
Joe Abrigo1359521Fair
Hernán Muñoz2854000Did not deliver
Luis Valenzuela1946513Fair
Hugo Silveira942102Fair
Cristian Bustamante1433501Did not deliver
Fabricio Fontanini214900Did not deliver
Rick39000Did not deliver

O'Higgins (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Felipe Seymour28173801Below expectations
Alejandro Sánchez12100800Did not deliver
Nelson Espinoza2899600Did not deliver
Ivan Rozas2886601Did not deliver
Carlos Muñoz1578720Below expectations
Pablo Hernández744610Fair

Palestino (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Cristián Suárez32295031Good
Cristopher Toselli31266800Fair
Misael Davila30244941Excellent
Bruno Romo24150610Did not deliver
Bruno Barticciotto25139023Good
Pablo Alvarado19124200Did not deliver
Nicolas Berardo23109411Did not deliver
Juan Sanchez Sotelo2487741Fair
Matías Cavalleri921600Did not deliver
Mauro Díaz1116800Did not deliver
Sebastian Martinez1015400Did not deliver
Bruno Gallo41700Did not deliver

Santiago Wanderers (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jose Aja23169620Fair
Facundo Kidd Alvarez24132712Fair
Maicol Cabrera1285300Below expectations
Diego Vallejos1764610Below expectations
Byron Bustamante1642300Did not deliver
Rick416100Did not deliver
Franco Cubillos16900Did not deliver

U. Catolica (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sebastian Perez30228200Below expectations
Juan Leiva31137110Below expectations
Felipe Gutiérrez21117934Excellent
Fabián Orellana1018601Did not deliver

Union Espanola (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Stefano Magnasco29260610Good
Patricio Rubio27157681Good
Rubén Farfán23125011Fair
Marcelo Jorquera24111902Below expectations
Gerardo Navarrete18102422Fair
Ignacio Lemmo2691943Below expectations
Miguel Pinto3178300Did not deliver
Bryan Rabello1376110Below expectations
Alejandro Chumacero1374921Below expectations
Federico Platero1834700Did not deliver
Gonzalo Villagra2230000Did not deliver
Joe Abrigo618200Did not deliver
Paolo Hurtado29500Did not deliver

Union La Calera (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Matías Fernández27197303Good
Yerco Oyanedel32176100Fair
Nicolas Orellana32152221Fair
Octavio Rivero17125380Excellent
Victor Gonzalez20107900Did not deliver
Ariel Martinez2289412Fair
Simón Ramírez1681910Below expectations
Gonzalo Jara855500Did not deliver
Bruno Liuzzi1447310Did not deliver
Williams Alarcón1042721Fair
Jorge Valdivia624310Fair
Gustavo Iturra1420901Did not deliver
Matías Cavalleri *513100Investment

Universidad de Chile (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ramón Arias30261930Good
Jonathan Andia24219012Good
Mario Sandoval29199420Good
Marcelo Cañete24154822Fair
Nahuel Lujan2064602Fair
Thomas Rodríguez2247800Did not deliver
Junior Fernandes735410Fair
Signings Report · Primera División 2021 · January 3, 2022