SigningLab · Annual Report

Signing Accuracy — Brasileirão Série A 2025

Published on January 12, 2026

Executive Summary

347
Real signings
321
Evaluated
36%
Clubs' average hit rate
58
Successful
169
Unsuccessful

In total we identified 347 real signings by the clubs of Brasileirão Série A in the 2025 season — academy promotions, loan returns, internal moves and transfers that never went through are excluded. Of these, 321 are included in the hit-rate calculation; 26 are youth investments (under-23 with no game time), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes in the season count as unsuccessful.

League Analysis

Champions Flamengo posted a hit rate of 86% on signings (7 evaluated), holding 1st place in the accuracy ranking. The bottom four in the table had an average hit rate of 23% on signings — below the league average (36%), highlighting the link between recruitment quality and sporting performance.

Flamengo leads the accuracy ranking with 86% and Sport Recife closes the list with 14%. p. over the clubs' decisions).

Club Ranking

ClubLeague positionSigningsEvaluatedSuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulHit rate %SigningLab*
1Flamengo77520
86%
100%
2Palmeiras1312831
79%
92%
3Bahia1311344
46%
91%
4Botafogo2120587
45%
80%
5Gremio1918558
42%
72%
6Fluminense1311245
36%
82%
7Santos12º1918378
36%
72%
8Mirassol25245712
35%
79%
9Fortaleza EC18º2220389
35%
90%
10Atletico-MG10º1413175
35%
85%
11Cruzeiro1512246
33%
67%
12Corinthians13º33102
33%
100%
13Ceara17º22202810
30%
90%
14RB Bragantino11º1210064
30%
90%
15Vitoria15º31306420
27%
73%
16Internacional16º1412147
25%
67%
17Vasco DA Gama14º1515159
23%
60%
18Juventude19º31282422
14%
71%
19Sao Paulo1111119
14%
46%
20Sport Recife20º27262321
14%
50%

* SigningLab: hit rate of SigningLab’s verdicts (recommend or not recommend) on each club’s evaluated signings, projected at the time of signing.

The difference between Signings and Evaluated are youth investments (under-23 with no game time in the season), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes are unsuccessful (Did not deliver).

Season Highlights

The ten signings with the greatest technical impact of the season, according to the Player Impact Score (PIS).

PlayerClubPosMinG+AAvg ratingRatingSigningLab
ReinaldoMirassolD295613+67.32Excellent
JorginhoFlamengoM13603+17.18Excellent
Samuel LinoFlamengoM14114+57.20Excellent
Carlos ViníciusGremioF95412+17.39Excellent
Álvaro MontoroBotafogoM9463+36.79Excellent
Andreas PereiraPalmeirasM10132+07.16Excellent
Danilo Dos Santos De OliveiraBotafogoM8391+37.09Excellent
Jorge CarrascalFlamengoM8292+56.36Excellent
EmersonFlamengoD12571+15.12Excellent
NeymarSantosF15358+17.37Excellent

Methodology

Club assessment — the universe of signings

The report considers exclusively genuine signings for the first-team squad, identified by the player's effective incorporation into the group between seasons. Excluded from the universe are: academy promotions, loan returns, internal administrative moves and transfers recorded but never completed. The aim is to measure the quality of market decisions — and those alone.

Player Impact Score (PIS)

Each evaluated signing receives a score from 0 to 100 that combines four observable technical dimensions: individual performance (average match ratings over the season), output (goals, assists and decisive actions adjusted for game time), collective performance (starting status and correlation with the club's results) and availability (volume of matches, adjusted for interruptions). High-impact players with reduced game time are promoted through an alternative efficiency criterion.

Outcome classification

The rating tiers are: Excellent and Good (successful signings — a full point in the index), Fair (intermediate performance — half a point) and Below expectations / Did not deliver (unsuccessful signings). Two categories sit outside the calculation, for distinct reasons: Injury (a serious injury prevented a fair assessment) and Investment (an under-23 player with low game time — the return depends on development and cannot be counted for or against the club in this cycle). Signings that did not reach relevant game time in the season are classified as unsuccessful, reflecting the sporting cost of the decision.

A note on scope

This is SigningLab's public, simplified model, developed for transparent retrospective market assessment. SigningLab's commercial solutions for partner clubs use a substantially larger set of variables and dedicated predictive mechanisms, and are not fully reflected in this document.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time in the season) — outside the hit-rate calculation.

Atletico-MG (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Roni36255765Fair
Natanael38219810Below expectations
Vitor Hugo35169030Fair
Tomas Cuello16124211Fair
Dudu21108232Excellent
Gabriel Menino3493011Fair
Caio Paulista3890800Did not deliver
Alexsander1685510Fair
Ruan Netto R. Netto1583210Fair
Iván Román3172600Below expectations
Gabriel Teixeira2362312Fair
Reinier2142600Did not deliver
Júnior Santos1841020Below expectations
João Marcelo *2810011Investment

Bahia (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Santiago Ramos Mingo33298100Fair
Ronaldo33248501Fair
Willian José352182116Excellent
Erick Pulga25173333Excellent
Rodrigo Nestor3489550Good
Michel Araújo2787241Fair
Erick1971410Fair
Mateo Sanabria1057810Did not deliver
José Guilherme *208400Investment
Kauê Furquim2800Did not deliver
Rick1000Did not deliver
Luiz Gustavo *14000Investment
João Paulo8000Did not deliver

Botafogo (21 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Artur31194854Good
David Loiola34185311Fair
Léo Linck30152100Below expectations
Arthur22145542Fair
Santiago Rodríguez30133025Good
Jair Paula11101401Good
Kaio Pantaleão1196000Fair
Álvaro Montoro1794633Excellent
Joaquín Correa2091220Fair
Danilo Dos Santos De Oliveira1383913Excellent
Chris Ramos1673240Fair
Nathan Fernandes1434312Fair
Jordan Barrera732010Fair
Gonzalo Mastriani3231710Fair
Gabriel Bahia1923500Did not deliver
Neto422400Did not deliver
Rwan1019300Did not deliver
Raúl2318000Did not deliver
Elias Manoel113100Did not deliver
Kauan Lindes *123000Investment
Rick31300Did not deliver

Ceara (22 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Willian Machado36327201Good
Antonio Galeano38317073Fair
Fabiano Souza36295401Fair
Pedro Raúl342922110Fair
Dieguinho33269002Good
Marllon37212720Fair
Pedro Henrique28143243Fair
Vinicius Zanocelo17111010Fair
Fernandinho22102801Did not deliver
Fernando Miguel2067300Fair
Nicolas3260100Did not deliver
Paulo Baya2046400Did not deliver
Matheus Araujo2429511Fair
Éder Ferreira3828300Did not deliver
Lucas Lima2816900Did not deliver
Rômulo1515000Did not deliver
Lelê913500Did not deliver
Bruno Tubarão129900Did not deliver
Alejandro Martínez65601Did not deliver
Rodriguinho *104100Investment
Lucca *81100Investment
Keiller6000Did not deliver

Corinthians (3 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Fabrizio Angileri33168700Below expectations
Vitinho1348203Good
Kauê Furquim2000Did not deliver

Cruzeiro (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Fabrício Bruno33298630Excellent
Christian30237452Fair
Wanderson27181102Below expectations
Gabriel36111462Fair
Eduardo3495010Below expectations
Fagner1884100Below expectations
Marquinhos2639600Fair
Luis Sinisterra1233821Good
Léo Aragão3733600Below expectations
Dudu522210Below expectations
Yannick Bolasie3120301Fair
Mateo Gamarra2216100Did not deliver
Ryan Guilherme *116300Investment
Keny Arroyo *21800Investment
Rodriguinho *101400Investment

Flamengo (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Danilo29141711Fair
Samuel Lino21141145Excellent
Jorginho18136031Excellent
Emerson20125711Excellent
Saúl Ñíguez18117302Excellent
Jorge Carrascal1882925Excellent
Juninho Vieira2739410Fair

Fluminense (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Juan Freytes33296200Fair
Renê33239320Good
Hércules34218231Fair
Agustín Canobbio32213042Fair
Everaldo35137820Below expectations
Luciano Acosta17121932Good
Yeferson Soteldo2349622Fair
Otávio1423100Below expectations
Santiago Moreno916300Did not deliver
Igor Rabello1116000Did not deliver
Paulo Baya95411Did not deliver
Ruben Lezcano *215400Investment
Marcelo Pitaluga *12000Investment

Fortaleza EC (22 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gastón Ávila31236200Fair
Brenno27139700Fair
Matheus Pereira21130213Good
Diogo Barbosa32125710Fair
Deyverson35123970Fair
José Herrera21106723Good
Adam Bareiro2291272Good
Pierre1986200Fair
Lucas Gazal1756901Fair
David Luiz1040600Below expectations
Helton Leite1836000Did not deliver
Allanzinho1831102Fair
Pol Fernández1029302Fair
Magrão627000Did not deliver
Rodrigo Santos1222100Did not deliver
Weverson921800Did not deliver
Yeison Guzmán719600Did not deliver
Vinicius Silvestre1118000Did not deliver
Pablo912200Did not deliver
Dylan Borrero *3000Investment
Richard *0000Investment
Tomás Roco0000Did not deliver

Gremio (19 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Tiago Volpi32295020Fair
Marlon32284012Good
Wagner Leonardo37239502Fair
Cristian Olivera24130920Below expectations
Erick Noriega15120800Fair
Francis Amuzu27118842Fair
Arthur13110500Excellent
Marcos Rocha1297600Good
Carlos Vinícius14954121Excellent
Gustavo Cuéllar2290000Below expectations
Camilo3376000Did not deliver
Lucas Esteves3667100Did not deliver
João Lucas2052900Did not deliver
Alex Santana1540400Did not deliver
Willian631212Good
Fabián Balbuena323410Fair
Luan Cândido5000Did not deliver
Enzo *6000Investment
Jorge Bartholdy11000Did not deliver

Internacional (14 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Vitor Naum30166251Fair
Juninho32152900Fair
Johan Carbonero23147052Good
Victor Gabriel29111320Fair
Alan Rodríguez1595401Fair
Ronaldo2077600Did not deliver
Ivan2158500Below expectations
Alan Benítez2556400Did not deliver
Óscar Romero3251401Did not deliver
Ramon1634400Did not deliver
Richard1428200Did not deliver
Diego Rosa *1419400Investment
Yan Henrique *1000Investment
Rick3000Did not deliver

Juventude (31 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcelo Hermes26190125Good
Jandrei19173100Fair
Wilker Ángel24145110Fair
Igor Formiga20143922Excellent
Marcos Paulo25139500Below expectations
Emerson Batalla25133842Below expectations
Ênio33115330Did not deliver
Luan14113101Fair
Gustavo1287000Below expectations
Daniel Giraldo2569400Did not deliver
Rafel Bilu1969110Did not deliver
Giovanny2868102Did not deliver
Gabriel Veron1464900Did not deliver
Matheus Babi2653220Below expectations
Marcos Miranda1050500Fair
Lucas Fernandes1140100Did not deliver
Ruan Carneiro2337400Did not deliver
Adriano Martins1036900Below expectations
Felipinho731000Did not deliver
Juan Sforza1327900Below expectations
Hudson723500Did not deliver
Cipriano *719700Investment
Edison Negueba1411610Did not deliver
Natã169400Did not deliver
Maurício Garcez58800Did not deliver
Petterson *48000Investment
Pernambuco46200Did not deliver
Emerson Galego42300Did not deliver
Gabriel Souza *3000Investment
Gastón Guruceaga12000Did not deliver
Rick1000Did not deliver

Mirassol (25 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro Da Silva37333720Good
Reinaldo342956136Excellent
Walter36283600Excellent
Alesson26147265Good
José Aldo37139801Fair
Chico da Costa20121760Fair
Edson Carioca22120142Fair
Daniel Borges3791422Fair
Carlos Eduardo2675725Good
Yago Rocha3366301Below expectations
Guilherme1356020Fair
Shaylon1847200Below expectations
Felipe Jonatan2144501Fair
Gabriel3336000Below expectations
Clayson925601Below expectations
Renato Marques1120610Fair
Matheus Bianqui2817800Did not deliver
Roni3117400Did not deliver
Maceió *1515800Investment
Davó35001Did not deliver
Zé Vitor22900Did not deliver
Luis Silva62100Did not deliver
Leonan2000Did not deliver
Da Silva2000Did not deliver
Matheus Sales0000Did not deliver

Palmeiras (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Vitor Roque332144163Excellent
Bruno Fuchs34175221Good
Facundo Torres35167063Good
Emiliano Martínez35153510Fair
Micael33129501Fair
Lucas Evangelista21106221Good
Andreas Pereira15101320Excellent
Khellven1598802Fair
Ramón Sosa2588333Good
Carlos Miguel1982100Excellent
Jefté2077203Good
Paulinho722000Below expectations
Fellipe Jack *0000Investment

RB Bragantino (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gabriel Girotto34267010Fair
Lucas Barbosa34235643Fair
Guzmán Rodríguez25208410Fair
Fabinho33128801Below expectations
Isidro Pitta26111372Fair
Vanderlan16107401Below expectations
Gustavo Marques2591910Fair
Raheem Sommersall1688200Fair
Agustin Sant'Anna1654100Did not deliver
Fernando1733000Did not deliver
Athyrson *17000Investment
João Neto *10000Investment

Santos (19 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Álvaro Barreal36226691Good
Benjamín Rollheiser36224923Fair
Zé Rafael28189510Fair
Zé Ivaldo26183010Fair
Neymar20153581Excellent
Igor Vinicius25133302Good
Tiquinho Soares36128923Below expectations
Adonis Frías16114400Fair
Lautaro Díaz15103332Fair
Mayke1982400Below expectations
Willian Arão1778800Fair
Thaciano3164830Below expectations
Victor Hugo1345100Below expectations
Luis Fellipe2143900Did not deliver
Leonardo Godoy1141600Did not deliver
Alexis Duarte940500Below expectations
Gustavo Caballero2035211Fair
Gabriel Veron *713600Investment
Billal Brahimi82000Did not deliver

Sao Paulo (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Enzo Díaz28196705Fair
Cédric Soares33194503Below expectations
Gonzalo Tapia23114650Good
Wendell2485801Below expectations
Lucas Ferreira1880800Did not deliver
Rafael Tolói1050700Below expectations
Matheus Alves1140901Did not deliver
Maílton1639800Did not deliver
Oscar835900Did not deliver
Juan Dinenno1626810Below expectations
Rick1000Did not deliver

Sport Recife (27 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Christian Rivera34277200Below expectations
Gabriel Vasconcelos23209400Excellent
Ramon23188910Fair
Matheus Alexandre31180501Below expectations
Matheusinho25167623Fair
Derik Lacerda17145660Excellent
Luan Cândido16134110Below expectations
Léo Pereira21113131Below expectations
Pablo28109231Did not deliver
Sérgio Oliveira23102911Below expectations
João Silva36102300Below expectations
Aderlan Silva2094400Did not deliver
Diogo Hereda1388001Fair
Lucas Kal2087000Did not deliver
Du Queiroz1163400Did not deliver
Rodrigo Atencio3156500Below expectations
Pedro Augusto1952400Did not deliver
Lucas Cunha1043700Below expectations
Hyoran2841201Did not deliver
Carlos Alberto1036700Did not deliver
Juan Ignacio Ramírez2429700Did not deliver
Kevyson1528300Did not deliver
Antônio Carlos728000Did not deliver
Arthur Sousa1022300Did not deliver
Gonçalo Paciência1621100Did not deliver
Gustavo Maia82400Did not deliver
Antônio Adriano *7000Investment

Vasco DA Gama (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nuno Moreira36257775Excellent
Tchê Tchê29201610Fair
Lucas Freitas34157310Fair
Robert Renan17131400Fair
Carlos Cuesta13111710Fair
Andrés Gómez18104115Fair
Mateus Carvalho3461700Did not deliver
Matheus França1739900Below expectations
Benjamín Garré2731500Did not deliver
Thiago Mendes1730100Did not deliver
Luiz Gustavo1428800Below expectations
Lucas Oliveira2627000Below expectations
Mauricio Lemos1024400Below expectations
Loide Augusto1620200Below expectations
Daniel Fuzato3819000Did not deliver

Vitoria (31 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Lucas Halter33294141Good
Ze Marcos34244011Fair
Gabriel Baralhas29229121Good
Renato Kayser30210990Fair
Erick34208735Good
Ronald35190602Fair
Ramon18163800Below expectations
Aitor Cantalapiedra21128833Good
Jamerson12105102Good
Lucas Braga3098610Did not deliver
Claudinho2191200Did not deliver
Thiago Couto2579300Good
Maykon Jesus3076500Did not deliver
Pepê2766600Did not deliver
Renzo López2365610Did not deliver
Fabrício Santos2641102Fair
Wellington Rato721710Below expectations
Léo Pereira1517600Did not deliver
Carlinhos2017210Did not deliver
Romarinho713100Did not deliver
Gabriel Vasconcelos19000Did not deliver
Felipe Cardoso *137700Investment
Rúben Rodrigues94600Did not deliver
Kike Saverio83200Did not deliver
Rúben Ramos Ismael11800Did not deliver
Alexandre Fintelman15000Did not deliver
Thiaguinho2000Did not deliver
Rick1000Did not deliver
Bruno Xavier1000Did not deliver
Hugo4000Did not deliver
Val0000Did not deliver