SigningLab · Annual Report

Signing Accuracy — Brasileirão Série A 2024

Published on January 13, 2025

Executive Summary

301
Real signings
279
Evaluated
34%
Clubs' average hit rate
43
Successful
139
Unsuccessful

In total we identified 301 real signings by the clubs of Brasileirão Série A in the 2024 season — academy promotions, loan returns, internal moves and transfers that never went through are excluded. Of these, 279 are included in the hit-rate calculation; 22 are youth investments (under-23 with no game time), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes in the season count as unsuccessful.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague positionSigningsEvaluatedSuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulHit rate %SigningLab*
1Botafogo1717863
65%
94%
2Corinthians2020686
50%
80%
3Flamengo88242
50%
75%
4Atletico-MG11º77232
50%
100%
5Internacional1514455
46%
79%
6Sao Paulo1111263
46%
91%
7Bahia1010253
45%
80%
8Cruzeiro1514356
39%
86%
9Palmeiras76123
33%
83%
10RB Bragantino16º96123
33%
83%
11Gremio14º1615258
30%
60%
12Fortaleza EC1110145
30%
90%
13Juventude15º27253814
28%
88%
14Vasco DA Gama10º1716169
25%
81%
15Atletico Paranaense17º108044
25%
88%
16Vitoria12º28263617
23%
81%
17Fluminense13º1211137
23%
64%
18Criciuma18º22191612
21%
90%
19Atletico Goianiense20º28250718
14%
100%
20Cuiaba19º1111029
9%
73%

* SigningLab: hit rate of SigningLab’s verdicts (recommend or not recommend) on each club’s evaluated signings, projected at the time of signing.

The difference between Signings and Evaluated are youth investments (under-23 with no game time in the season), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes are unsuccessful (Did not deliver).

Season Highlights

The ten signings with the greatest technical impact of the season, according to the Player Impact Score (PIS).

PlayerClubPosMinG+AAvg ratingRatingSigningLab
Rodrigo GarroCorinthiansM304110+107.63Excellent
Jefferson SavarinoBotafogoF20138+77.34Excellent
Nicolás de la CruzFlamengoM10122+37.01Excellent
Alexandro BernabeiInternacionalD20013+54.63Excellent
Thiago MaiaInternacionalM18242+47.03Excellent
Igor JesusBotafogoF14735+37.06Excellent
Martin BraithwaiteGremioF14948+27.14Excellent
WesleyInternacionalM253711+17.20Excellent
Thiago AlmadaBotafogoM12601+27.26Excellent
AlerrandroVitoriaF243215+46.91Excellent

Methodology

Club assessment — the universe of signings

The report considers exclusively genuine signings for the first-team squad, identified by the player's effective incorporation into the group between seasons. Excluded from the universe are: academy promotions, loan returns, internal administrative moves and transfers recorded but never completed. The aim is to measure the quality of market decisions — and those alone.

Player Impact Score (PIS)

Each evaluated signing receives a score from 0 to 100 that combines four observable technical dimensions: individual performance (average match ratings over the season), output (goals, assists and decisive actions adjusted for game time), collective performance (starting status and correlation with the club's results) and availability (volume of matches, adjusted for interruptions). High-impact players with reduced game time are promoted through an alternative efficiency criterion.

Outcome classification

The rating tiers are: Excellent and Good (successful signings — a full point in the index), Fair (intermediate performance — half a point) and Below expectations / Did not deliver (unsuccessful signings). Two categories sit outside the calculation, for distinct reasons: Injury (a serious injury prevented a fair assessment) and Investment (an under-23 player with low game time — the return depends on development and cannot be counted for or against the club in this cycle). Signings that did not reach relevant game time in the season are classified as unsuccessful, reflecting the sporting cost of the decision.

A note on scope

This is SigningLab's public, simplified model, developed for transparent retrospective market assessment. SigningLab's commercial solutions for partner clubs use a substantially larger set of variables and dedicated predictive mechanisms, and are not fully reflected in this document.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time in the season) — outside the hit-rate calculation.

Atletico Goianiense (28 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Adriano Martins34302200Fair
Guilherme Romão32277713Fair
Alejo Cruz37219222Fair
Maguinho31156601Below expectations
Roni26147010Fair
Lucas Kal20116301Fair
Emiliano Rodriguez23110800Did not deliver
Derek Freitas29102031Below expectations
Jan Hurtado1987820Below expectations
Gonzalo Freitas1684500Fair
Joel Campbell1157120Fair
Pedro Rangel3454000Below expectations
Matías Lacava1449000Did not deliver
Max1729700Did not deliver
Yony González926800Did not deliver
Vagner Love1018010Did not deliver
Yeferson Rodallega2010500Did not deliver
Danielzinho910000Did not deliver
Philipe Sampaio39800Did not deliver
Gabriel Barros *68100Investment
Marcão *187000Investment
Mateo Zuleta *96410Investment
Rafael Haller106400Did not deliver
Gustavo Campanharo84200Did not deliver
Randerson81300Did not deliver
Eli21300Did not deliver
Emerson Júnior14000Did not deliver
Ángelo Araos0000Did not deliver

Atletico Paranaense (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Leonardo Godoy37166712Fair
Mateo Gamarra34149700Fair
Gabriel Girotto33145012Fair
Felipinho2795400Below expectations
Gonzalo Mastriani2691440Fair
Lucas Di Yorio2882530Below expectations
Bruno Praxedes1624800Below expectations
Zé Vitor2618100Did not deliver
Marcos Victor *111100Investment
Romeo Benítez *2000Investment

Atletico-MG (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gustavo Scarpa34225945Excellent
Fausto Vera21166720Good
Deyverson18101321Fair
Lyanco1693700Fair
Bernard1692000Fair
Brahian Palacios3481323Below expectations
Rick11900Did not deliver

Bahia (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jean Lucas36292436Good
Caio Alexandre36280320Fair
Éverton Ribeiro37270825Excellent
Santiago Arias26189901Fair
Luciano Rodríguez1991461Fair
Carlos De Pena3769803Fair
Víctor Cuesta3050900Below expectations
Iago1542700Did not deliver
Adriel2234200Did not deliver
Óscar Estupiñán1524931Fair

Botafogo (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
John37307200Good
Luiz Henrique36256473Good
Gregore36223132Excellent
Alexander Barboza33204101Good
Jefferson Savarino28201387Excellent
Cuiabano28148241Excellent
Igor Jesus22147353Excellent
Lucas Halter29135310Fair
Thiago Almada17126012Excellent
Damián Suárez18124501Fair
Vitinho1277800Below expectations
Óscar Romero3468614Fair
Alex Telles1265801Fair
Matheus Martins1845220Fair
Allan2131101Fair
Pablo Nascimento Castro22100Did not deliver
Raúl14000Did not deliver

Corinthians (20 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Rodrigo Garro3630411010Excellent
Raniele34233300Fair
Cacá34232441Good
Matheus França36229011Good
Hugo Souza22203100Excellent
Hugo35184904Fair
Félix Torres24174100Fair
Gustavo Henrique32151710Fair
André Ramalho18151001Good
Igor Coronado32140712Below expectations
Memphis Depay1181271Good
André Carrillo1375202Fair
José Martínez1265400Fair
Alex Santana1259200Below expectations
Charles1955710Fair
Pedro Raúl3355000Did not deliver
Talles Magno1551121Fair
Pedro Henrique2936711Below expectations
Héctor Hernández76400Did not deliver
Diego Palacios1000Did not deliver

Criciuma (22 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Yannick Bolasie35240784Good
Newton32233111Fair
Tobias Figueiredo30210610Fair
Arthur35170551Fair
Matheusinho32161853Fair
Ronald32153712Below expectations
Miguel Trauco31147920Below expectations
Allano27130712Below expectations
Higor Meritão31107320Below expectations
Wilker Ángel1499610Fair
Dudu1775401Fair
Patrick de Paula1327100Below expectations
Pedro Rocha1119500Did not deliver
Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva1416900Did not deliver
Renato Kayser18610Did not deliver
Baltasar Barcia *144600Investment
Serginho72800Did not deliver
Yerson Candelo32600Did not deliver
Werik Popó *101900Investment
Ruan2000Did not deliver
Léo Gonçalves *2000Investment
Matheus Teixeira20000Did not deliver

Cruzeiro (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Lucas Romero34255802Fair
Cássio21192200Good
Gabriel Veron28162962Fair
Álvaro Barreal30150224Good
Lucas Villalba36134700Fair
Matheuzinho17123720Good
Kaio Jorge17119022Fair
Lautaro Díaz1899610Did not deliver
Walace1647000Did not deliver
Jonathan Jesus2134400Below expectations
Fabrizio Peralta1628500Did not deliver
Juan Dinenno723730Fair
José Cifuentes66800Did not deliver
Gabriel Chapecó3000Did not deliver
Léo Aragão *19000Investment

Cuiaba (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ramon31266321Fair
Bruno Alves37204810Fair
Railan37122203Below expectations
Lucas Fernandes26106411Did not deliver
Eliel3653120Did not deliver
Gustavo Sauer1152600Did not deliver
Gabriel2729200Did not deliver
Mateus Pasinato3818000Did not deliver
Guilherme Madruga2610501Did not deliver
Luciano Giménez159700Did not deliver
Rick1000Did not deliver

Flamengo (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Léo Ortiz34188212Fair
Nicolás de la Cruz16101223Excellent
Evertton3383110Fair
Carlos Alcaraz1477021Fair
Gonzalo Plata1169710Below expectations
Alex Sandro951501Good
Carlinhos2543620Fair
Matías Viña1143100Did not deliver

Fluminense (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Thiago Silva15137700Good
Marquinhos28130301Did not deliver
Antônio Carlos34109200Fair
Kevin Serna1689632Fair
Renato Augusto3145811Fair
Douglas Costa1530900Below expectations
Gabriel Fuentes1324100Below expectations
Gabriel Pires923800Did not deliver
David Terans2121200Did not deliver
Ignacio819500Did not deliver
Vitão *612800Investment
Felipe Alves12000Did not deliver

Fortaleza EC (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Benjamin Kuscevic24190120Fair
Breno Lopes32185153Fair
Matheus Rossetto28158000Below expectations
Tomás Cardona29145710Fair
Felipe Jonatan35144200Below expectations
Emmanuel Martínez26102414Fair
Eros Mancuso1393212Good
Kervin Andrade2849011Below expectations
Santos15000Did not deliver
Thauan Lara *0000Investment
Magrão0000Did not deliver

Gremio (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Agustín Marchesín29248700Good
Douglas Moreira35242702Fair
Yeferson Soteldo24169152Fair
Martin Braithwaite18149482Excellent
Edenilson33134811Did not deliver
Gustavo Nunes20123531Below expectations
Jemerson14116410Fair
Cristian Pavón23110313Fair
Miguel Monsalve2299931Fair
Alexander Aravena1979922Below expectations
Du Queiroz2960000Below expectations
Diego Costa1548612Below expectations
Rafael Cabral2146500Did not deliver
Rodrigo Caio2638400Below expectations
Mayk Silva2236700Did not deliver
Matías Arezo *2214200Investment

Internacional (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Wesley332537111Excellent
Alexandro Bernabei35200135Excellent
Rafael Borré23188693Good
Thiago Maia26182424Excellent
Fernando25148910Fair
Agustín Rogel17106401Fair
Bruno Tabata16101022Fair
Robert Renan1995701Fair
Fabricio1772000Fair
Lucas Alario3358600Did not deliver
Clayton Sampaio1553900Below expectations
Hyoran2035800Did not deliver
Braian Aguirre149000Did not deliver
Nathan *4400Investment
Ivan1000Did not deliver

Juventude (27 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Gabriel Vasconcelos34303800Good
João Lucas30260116Excellent
Lucas Barbosa33246972Fair
Caique Gonçalves17142800Fair
Lucas Freitas30127300Fair
Ewerton28120312Fair
Ronaldo14116522Good
Gilberto28112331Below expectations
Jean Carlos26104642Fair
Marcelinho31102523Below expectations
Gabriel Inocêncio3388901Did not deliver
Rodrigo Sam1780110Fair
Edson Carioca1775632Below expectations
Luís Oyama3369021Fair
Ronie Carrillo2067910Did not deliver
Mateus Claus3441200Did not deliver
Thiaguinho2130700Did not deliver
Dudu Vieira1527200Did not deliver
Yan Souto1623810Fair
Diego Gonçalves1520110Below expectations
Rildo912100Did not deliver
Werik Popó *76300Investment
Kleiton42800Did not deliver
Peixoto112600Did not deliver
Lucas Wingert7000Did not deliver
Joao Vitor Cardoso de Souza *11000Investment
Renan3000Did not deliver

Palmeiras (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Aníbal Moreno34252911Fair
Felipe Anderson21132922Good
Caio Paulista37123400Below expectations
Mauricio21114030Fair
Lázaro Vinícius2577720Below expectations
Agustín Giay2065600Below expectations
Rômulo *3018000Investment

RB Bragantino (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Pedro Henrique28239310Fair
Lincoln34158232Fair
Jhon Jhon21117733Excellent
Nathan Mendes16116201Below expectations
Ivan Cavaleiro1118500Did not deliver
Fabrício189000Did not deliver
Sergio Palacios *43100Investment
Marcos Paulo *5000Investment
Johan Caicedo *1000Investment

Sao Paulo (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Luiz Gustavo31216721Excellent
André Silva37158772Fair
Aldemir Ferreira28123951Good
Damián Bobadilla26103510Below expectations
Sabino3598800Fair
Marcos Antônio1885600Fair
Ruan Netto R. Netto1573400Fair
Erick3566612Fair
Jamal Lewis723801Fair
Santiago Longo1017700Did not deliver
Gabriel Stevanato0000Did not deliver

Vasco DA Gama (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Hugo Moura33213914Fair
João Victor28180511Fair
David23161643Fair
Juan Sforza36126810Below expectations
Adson21124521Fair
Pablo Galdames26116602Fair
Emerson Rodríguez1781720Did not deliver
Philippe Coutinho1568721Below expectations
Victor Luis2944311Good
Jean David1429100Below expectations
Maxime Dominguez1426210Fair
Robert Rojas3018900Did not deliver
Clayton1315300Did not deliver
Souza127600Did not deliver
Keiller32000Did not deliver
Patrick de Lucca2000Did not deliver
Mateus Carvalho *0000Investment

Vitoria (28 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Lucas Esteves35297214Good
Willian Oliveira35268851Good
Alerrandro352432154Excellent
Willean Lepo30179800Below expectations
Raúl Cáceres32172903Fair
Luan Santos32160600Did not deliver
Janderson31141731Fair
Neris17139810Fair
Leo Naldi35110600Below expectations
Ricardo Ryller21106401Fair
Carlos Eduardo1788802Below expectations
Machado1884300Below expectations
Gustavo Silva1380212Below expectations
Edu1975500Fair
Caio1760200Below expectations
Patric Calmon2455201Below expectations
Everaldo2144620Fair
Jean Mota3544210Below expectations
Bruno Uvini2343800Below expectations
Reynaldo1735500Did not deliver
Erick Castillo1126610Below expectations
Luiz Adriano1019601Did not deliver
Daniel Jr *1713900Investment
Muriel379000Did not deliver
Alexandre Fintelman *6000Investment
Cristián Zapata5000Did not deliver
Luan0000Did not deliver
Maycon Cleiton0000Did not deliver