SigningLab · Annual Report

Signing Accuracy — Brasileirão Série A 2023

Published on January 8, 2024

Executive Summary

330
Real signings
305
Evaluated
36%
Clubs' average hit rate
70
Successful
167
Unsuccessful

In total we identified 330 real signings by the clubs of Brasileirão Série A in the 2023 season — academy promotions, loan returns, internal moves and transfers that never went through are excluded. Of these, 305 are included in the hit-rate calculation; 25 are youth investments (under-23 with no game time), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes in the season count as unsuccessful.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague positionSigningsEvaluatedSuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulHit rate %
1Palmeiras22200
100%
2RB Bragantino1312705
58%
3Fortaleza EC10º1715627
47%
4Bahia16º2522769
46%
5Atletico-MG99243
44%
6Sao Paulo11º1313274
42%
7Gremio20186210
39%
8Cruzeiro14º26256712
38%
9Vasco DA Gama15º27246612
38%
10Goias18º27256613
36%
11Cuiaba12º1717449
35%
12Santos17º20205411
35%
13Internacional1514248
29%
14Fluminense18173212
24%
15Atletico Paranaense1211137
23%
16Coritiba19º29263518
21%
17Botafogo1612219
21%
18Corinthians13º65023
20%
19Flamengo33012
17%
20America Mineiro20º15150213
7%

The difference between Signings and Evaluated are youth investments (under-23 with no game time in the season), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes are unsuccessful (Did not deliver).

Season Highlights

The ten signings with the greatest technical impact of the season, according to the Player Impact Score (PIS).

PlayerClubPosMinG+AAvg ratingRating
PaulinhoAtletico-MGM307620+27.16Excellent
Luis SuárezGremioF293317+117.35Excellent
Eduardo SashaRB BragantinoF224811+37.02Excellent
CaulyBahiaF25894+77.16Excellent
Pablo VegettiVasco DA GamaF184610+17.17Excellent
Franco CristaldoGremioM21728+56.85Excellent
MarlonCruzeiroD32553+27.12Excellent
LimaFluminenseM26166+26.92Excellent
Lucas LimaSantosM22531+57.03Excellent
GuilhermeGoiasM18786+66.75Excellent

Methodology

Club assessment — the universe of signings

The report considers exclusively genuine signings for the first-team squad, identified by the player's effective incorporation into the group between seasons. Excluded from the universe are: academy promotions, loan returns, internal administrative moves and transfers recorded but never completed. The aim is to measure the quality of market decisions — and those alone.

Player Impact Score (PIS)

Each evaluated signing receives a score from 0 to 100 that combines four observable technical dimensions: individual performance (average match ratings over the season), output (goals, assists and decisive actions adjusted for game time), collective performance (starting status and correlation with the club's results) and availability (volume of matches, adjusted for interruptions). High-impact players with reduced game time are promoted through an alternative efficiency criterion.

Outcome classification

The rating tiers are: Excellent and Good (successful signings — a full point in the index), Fair (intermediate performance — half a point) and Below expectations / Did not deliver (unsuccessful signings). Two categories sit outside the calculation, for distinct reasons: Injury (a serious injury prevented a fair assessment) and Investment (an under-23 player with low game time — the return depends on development and cannot be counted for or against the club in this cycle). Signings that did not reach relevant game time in the season are classified as unsuccessful, reflecting the sporting cost of the decision.

A note on scope

This is SigningLab's public, simplified model, developed for transparent retrospective market assessment. SigningLab's commercial solutions for partner clubs use a substantially larger set of variables and dedicated predictive mechanisms, and are not fully reflected in this document.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time in the season) — outside the hit-rate calculation.

America Mineiro (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Mateus Pasinato2494100Did not deliver
Marcinho1981800Did not deliver
Nicolas2174111Did not deliver
Wanderson1453400Did not deliver
Rodrigo Varanda1552921Fair
Esteban Burgos1230300Did not deliver
Juan Cazares1530101Fair
Javier Méndez1927200Did not deliver
Nino Paraíba420700Below expectations
Washington Aguerre1318800Did not deliver
Mikael1216900Did not deliver
Mateus46700Did not deliver
Renato Kayser85200Did not deliver
Rick32800Did not deliver
Dadá Belmonte1000Did not deliver

Atletico Paranaense (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Cacá20169520Fair
Lucas Esquivel20164001Fair
Madson26135622Fair
Bruno Zapelli22113422Good
Kaique Rocha2862410Did not deliver
Willian2959140Below expectations
Fernando1048002Below expectations
Arturo Vidal738300Below expectations
Thiago Andrade3024300Did not deliver
Luciano Arriagada2922300Did not deliver
Bruno Peres1118900Did not deliver
Julimar *1000Investment

Atletico-MG (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Paulinho363076202Excellent
Mauricio Lemos29228110Good
Renzo Saravia30176402Fair
Rodrigo Battaglia24176201Fair
Igor Gomes37144622Fair
Edenilson35142312Fair
Bruno Fuchs23114400Did not deliver
Patrick3859800Did not deliver
Matheus Mendes3718800Did not deliver

Bahia (25 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcos Felipe37340500Good
Kanu33297810Good
Cauly32258947Excellent
Everaldo34220991Excellent
Vitor Hugo30216610Fair
Nicolás Acevedo34201200Fair
Gilberto21189211Good
Ademir36179161Good
Gabriel Teixeira26139851Good
Yago Rocha27137800Below expectations
Camilo Cándido21127012Fair
David Duarte2189910Did not deliver
Rafael Ratão2082740Fair
Cicinho3677500Did not deliver
Luciano1769512Fair
Vinicius Alessandro Mingotti3168530Below expectations
Jhoanner Chávez1360100Did not deliver
Kayky1442511Fair
Raul Gustavo1633600Did not deliver
Arthur Sales1630410Did not deliver
Diego Rosa2726500Did not deliver
Léo Cittadini1715900Did not deliver
Marcos Victor *141100Investment
Adriel *14000Investment
Caio Roque *0000Investment

Botafogo (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marlon Freitas37295312Good
Leonel Di Plácido35238514Good
Matías Segovia3369001Did not deliver
Diego Costa1353830Fair
Janderson3145911Below expectations
Carlos Alberto2637620Below expectations
JP Galvão2420000Did not deliver
Bastos1413200Did not deliver
Luis Segovia159500Did not deliver
Diego Hernández134300Did not deliver
Breno51400Did not deliver
Newton *31300Investment
Wallison *1000Investment
Igo Gabriel *5000Investment
Ryan0000Did not deliver
Valentin Adamo *0000Investment

Corinthians (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Matheus Bidú38169100Did not deliver
Lucas Veríssimo17138512Fair
Ángel Romero32122581Fair
Murillo17116600Did not deliver
Matías Rojas1768801Below expectations
Chrystian Barletta *912700Investment

Coritiba (29 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcelino Moreno35234124Good
Benjamin Kuscevic23205920Good
Jamerson35193801Fair
Victor Luis35158621Below expectations
Matheus Bianqui34148421Fair
Sebastian Gomez20144021Good
Islam Slimani1183132Fair
Bruno Viana1482600Did not deliver
Diogo1676311Fair
Maurício Garcez2161210Did not deliver
Liziero1259000Did not deliver
Zé Roberto1254511Fair
Fransérgio2352900Did not deliver
Rodrigo Pinho1739800Did not deliver
Luan Polli3738400Did not deliver
Edu1933120Below expectations
Hayner1330900Did not deliver
Júnior Urso630300Below expectations
Reynaldo1426800Did not deliver
Maurício Antônio620000Did not deliver
Marcos Vinícius1119300Did not deliver
Andreas Samaris1118500Did not deliver
William Pottker611400Did not deliver
Gabriel Silva *1710200Investment
Lucas Barbosa *139700Investment
Jesé Rodríguez139710Did not deliver
Vilar99000Did not deliver
Wesley Pombo *65000Investment
Rick22700Did not deliver

Cruzeiro (26 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marlon36325532Excellent
Luciano Castan36325210Excellent
William34271502Good
Neris35214701Below expectations
Mateus Vital32192302Fair
Jussa28179910Fair
Wesley32179341Good
Lucas Silva22148902Fair
Arthur Gomes21137931Good
Gilberto23112231Fair
Matheus Pereira15103811Good
Nikão2982923Fair
Helibelton Palacios2462900Did not deliver
Rafael Papagaio1555410Below expectations
Ramiro641311Fair
Wallisson Luiz1441300Did not deliver
Henrique Dourado1437510Below expectations
Richard435500Fair
João Marcelo2017100Did not deliver
Fernando Henrique *2415700Investment
Paulo Vitor2014600Did not deliver
Igor Formiga1312201Did not deliver
Rafel Bilu49300Did not deliver
Anderson379000Did not deliver
Reynaldo136600Did not deliver
Davó0000Did not deliver

Cuiaba (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Matheus Alexandre37304610Good
Raniele35294131Excellent
Fernando Sobral36193122Good
Wellington Silva34139112Fair
Allyson37114600Did not deliver
Filipe Augusto32111100Below expectations
Pablo Ceppelini22101903Good
Isidro Pitta3887351Fair
Derik Lacerda2067311Fair
Ronald3465321Below expectations
Lucas Mineiro1962400Did not deliver
Patric Calmon3454900Did not deliver
Emerson Ramon3648400Did not deliver
Mateusinho644010Fair
Iury1542000Did not deliver
Nicolás Quagliata1324000Did not deliver
Vitao211100Did not deliver

Flamengo (3 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Agustín Rossi25137900Did not deliver
Luiz Araújo2181531Fair
Allan1151000Did not deliver

Fluminense (18 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Lima35261662Excellent
Keno25162524Good
Guga36156413Below expectations
Marcelo20135611Good
Lelê36121522Fair
Diogo Barbosa21116812Fair
Marlon1695900Below expectations
Thiago Santos3583900Did not deliver
Leonardo Fernández2469310Below expectations
Danielzinho2562200Did not deliver
Yony González2461011Below expectations
Gabriel Pirani1441410Did not deliver
Giovanni3512100Did not deliver
Vitor Mendes410700Did not deliver
Vitor Eudes129000Did not deliver
Rick33100Did not deliver
Luan *2000Investment
Jorge0000Did not deliver

Fortaleza EC (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
João Ricardo33291400Good
Bruno Pacheco35270523Good
Juan Martín Lucero32210590Excellent
Tomás Pochettino38204423Good
Calebe30149025Good
Guilherme Augusto34147233Fair
Marinho21116921Good
Imanol Machuca2170720Fair
Gonzalo Escobar2260701Did not deliver
Pedro Augusto2259000Did not deliver
Dudu3339900Did not deliver
Tobias Figueiredo1435000Did not deliver
Mauricio Kozlinski169000Did not deliver
Vinicius Zanocelo *188400Investment
Lucas Esteves *4000Investment
Bernardo Schappo12000Did not deliver
Cristian Bernardi0000Did not deliver

Goias (27 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Bruno Melo33297421Good
Everton Morelli32265630Good
Willian Oliveira35223300Fair
Guilherme31187866Excellent
Julián Palacios29168111Fair
Sander24159303Fair
Anderson Oliveira21131802Fair
Allano19126110Good
Zé Ricardo13110401Good
Joao Magno20102031Good
Matheus Babi2094040Fair
Matheus Peixoto1589621Fair
Alesson3568521Below expectations
Raphael Guzzo2060010Below expectations
Luís Oyama2457010Did not deliver
Bruno Santos2447900Did not deliver
Edu2846200Did not deliver
Diego Gonçalves2538600Did not deliver
Vinicius Rodrigues3336020Below expectations
Higor Meritão1925900Did not deliver
Philippe Costa711500Did not deliver
Gabriel Novaes410200Did not deliver
Breno Herculano48800Did not deliver
Jhonny Lucas *62300Investment
Felipe2000Did not deliver
Ariel6000Did not deliver
Carlos Maia *0000Investment

Gremio (20 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Luis Suárez3329331711Excellent
Reinaldo31274625Excellent
Franco Cristaldo35217285Excellent
João Pedro30209731Good
Felipe Carballo23156611Fair
Bruno Uvini34146610Did not deliver
Pepê18141111Good
Everton Galdino30124762Good
Fábio2688502Below expectations
Nathan3072011Below expectations
Vinícius1467810Fair
Rodrigo Ely1167300Did not deliver
João Pedro Galvão1865501Below expectations
André Henrique3843230Below expectations
Lucas Besozzi2240111Below expectations
Caíque1937500Did not deliver
Adriel *818900Investment
Juan Iturbe148100Did not deliver
Luan206900Did not deliver
Gustavinho *164000Investment

Internacional (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sergio Rochet19173900Fair
Enner Valencia23147991Good
Luiz Adriano35136231Fair
Nico Hernández33135502Below expectations
Charles Aránguiz23129401Fair
Rômulo31124610Did not deliver
Bruno Henrique21107720Good
John1783900Did not deliver
Gustavo Campanharo2971501Did not deliver
Dalbert1351200Did not deliver
Hugo Mallo635300Fair
Jean Dias2233111Below expectations
Gabriel Baralhas1223500Did not deliver
Gabriel Barros *3119401Investment
Rick2000Did not deliver

Palmeiras (2 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Artur36193752Good
Richard Rios37188821Good

RB Bragantino (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Juninho Capixaba34290821Excellent
Matheus Fernandes35236713Good
Eduardo Sasha332248113Excellent
Vitor Naum33209122Good
Thiago Borbas35145192Good
Luan Patrick25111101Did not deliver
Henry Mosquera22105922Good
Eduardo Santos13103210Good
Matheus Gonçalves1946601Below expectations
Lucão620200Did not deliver
Ignacio Laquintana1518900Did not deliver
Yani Quintero *119900Investment
Lucas Cunha47100Did not deliver

Santos (20 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Joaquim35279914Good
Messias38246720Fair
Lucas Lima35225315Excellent
Jean Lucas22184903Good
Douglas Moreira35175100Below expectations
Stiven Mendoza29171762Good
Dodô19143301Fair
Gabriel Inocêncio35132200Did not deliver
Tomás Rincón16122021Good
João Basso15116000Below expectations
João Lucas3382901Did not deliver
Nonato1967210Below expectations
Julio Furch2266730Fair
Maximiliano Silvera1646611Fair
Deivid Washington1644620Below expectations
Daniel Ruíz1225300Did not deliver
Luan Dias1220200Did not deliver
Bruno Mezenga2519200Did not deliver
Junior Caiçara1516800Did not deliver
Alfredo Morelos78600Did not deliver

Sao Paulo (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Rafael38305000Fair
Caio Paulista31213612Fair
Michel Araújo33181621Good
Wellington Rato35178804Good
Alan Franco34115311Did not deliver
Lucas Moura1488810Fair
David2777322Fair
James Rodríguez1265112Fair
Marcos Paulo1755021Fair
Erison1441911Fair
Jhegson Méndez2738100Did not deliver
Raí Ramos1928500Did not deliver
Rick1000Did not deliver

Vasco DA Gama (27 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Léo Jardim38349200Good
Lucas Piton37335704Excellent
Léo35275800Fair
Puma Rodríguez36205821Fair
Pablo Vegetti211846101Excellent
Gary Medel20178600Fair
Paulinho Paula20164912Good
Jair31162330Good
Bruno Praxedes22138912Good
Robson Bambu25130100Did not deliver
Maicon24129802Below expectations
Paulo Henrique2988711Did not deliver
Dimitri Payet1885421Fair
Pedro Raúl1283420Fair
Luca Orellano2864411Below expectations
Manuel Capasso2357100Did not deliver
Sebastián Ferreira2347101Did not deliver
Rossi1242714Fair
Serginho2237320Did not deliver
Rodrigo1037000Did not deliver
Matheus Carvalho2635100Did not deliver
Gabriel Carabajal1212301Did not deliver
Rwan *103200Investment
Ivan36000Did not deliver
Jefferson4000Did not deliver
Mateus Carvalho *0000Investment
Patrick de Lucca *0000Investment