Signings Report — Brasileirão Série A 2021

Quantitative analysis of clubs' accuracy in the market · Published on January 3, 2022
249
Real signings
236
Evaluated
34%
Average hit rate
51
Successful
▲ 2 p.p.
vs 2020 season

We identified 249 real signings for the first-team squad — academy promotions, loan returns and transfers that never went through are excluded. 13 youth investments (under-23) are classified separately. This edition introduces the adjusted hit rate, which statistically weights clubs with few signings to avoid small-sample distortions.

Club Ranking

ClubLeague pos.SigningsEvaluated SuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulRaw %Adjusted %
1Fortaleza EC131262458%49%
2Gremio17º8842262%48%
3Corinthians7521250%40%
4Flamengo4412150%40%
5Atletico Paranaense15º8831444%39%
6Atletico-MG7722343%38%
7Cuiaba14º2019631040%38%
8Santos11º9923439%37%
9Juventude16º2826751436%36%
10Sport Recife19º161643934%34%
11Internacional12º7612333%34%
12Sao Paulo13º9922533%34%
13America Mineiro1515411030%32%
14Fluminense111114627%30%
15Palmeiras4401312%27%
16RB Bragantino11803519%27%
17Atletico Goianiense1818161122%26%
18Ceara10º1716231122%26%
19Chapecoense-sc20º1313121015%23%
20Bahia18º2422231716%21%

The Adjusted % applies Bayesian weighting toward the league average (34%), proportional to the volume of signings — the ranking's official order.

Hit rate by transfer window

WindowSigningsHit rate %
Start-of-season window (Dec-Apr)15431%
Mid-year window (May-Aug)9535%

Season Highlights

PlayerClubPosMinG+ANotaRating
HulkAtletico-MGF295419+77.27Excellent
Yago PikachuFortaleza ECM28929+56.83Excellent
Emiliano RigoniSao PauloF20864+57.07Excellent
Nacho FernándezAtletico-MGM18325+57.05Excellent
Marcelo BenevenutoFortaleza ECD30934+07.06Excellent
David TeransAtletico ParanaenseM17786+76.94Excellent

Methodology

Each evaluated signing is classified into five tiers from a score that combines match ratings, attacking output adjusted for game time, collective contribution and consistency, in comparison with the other players in the competition. Successful signings count as a full point; Fair ones, half a point. Signings without relevant game time are unsuccessful, except for youth investments (under-23) and serious, documented injuries.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time) — outside the calculation.

America Mineiro (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Patric24215211Good
Marlon Lopes24185212Good
Juninho38124633Fair
Fabrício23114732Good
Mauro Zárate16108512Good
Ribamar30103820Below expectations
Eduardo1275500Did not deliver
Alan Ruschel3475500Did not deliver
Ramon1450200Did not deliver
Chrigor1025700Did not deliver
Yan Sasse196400Did not deliver
Isaque94500Did not deliver
Orlando Berrío23100Did not deliver
Luiz Fernando2000Did not deliver
Leandro Carvalho0000Did not deliver

Atletico Goianiense (18 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Fernando Miguel37333300Good
Igor Cariús31200810Fair
André Luís31181412Fair
Wanderson25176000Fair
Ronald27135900Below expectations
Arthur Gomes1273811Fair
Brian Montenegro2370210Fair
Arthur Henrique2567211Did not deliver
Lucão3365821Fair
Pedro Henrique1845800Did not deliver
Matheus Barbosa2039211Below expectations
Rickson1738300Did not deliver
Jonas Toró1832410Below expectations
Jefferson99000Did not deliver
Luan Polli215600Did not deliver
Pablo Dyego94600Did not deliver
Werley131200Did not deliver
Matheus Oliveira3000Did not deliver

Atletico Paranaense (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcinho33227825Good
David Terans30177867Excellent
Pedro Rocha20124440Good
Lucas Fasson2174100Did not deliver
Matheus Babi1171931Fair
Nico Hernández1971300Did not deliver
Pedrinho1740000Did not deliver
Rick21600Did not deliver

Atletico-MG (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Hulk352954197Excellent
Tchê Tchê35199111Fair
Nacho Fernández26183255Excellent
Dodô3090410Did not deliver
Diego Costa1578041Fair
Echaporã182900Did not deliver
Ruan Nascimento dos Santos0000Did not deliver

Bahia (24 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Luiz Otávio36270030Fair
Germán Conti28248100Good
Lucas Mugni20162701Good
Danilo Fernandes20146000Below expectations
Hugo Rodallega2292561Fair
Thaciano1171321Fair
Maycon Douglas3062411Below expectations
Renan Guedes3859500Did not deliver
Jonas de Sousa2057410Below expectations
Oscar Ruiz2451600Did not deliver
Lucas Araujo2547500Did not deliver
Thonny Anderson1645701Below expectations
Gustavo Henrique2638800Did not deliver
Ronald1736200Did not deliver
Matheus Galdezani1533100Did not deliver
Raniele1530100Did not deliver
Ligger2727400Did not deliver
Eugenio Isnaldo1025400Did not deliver
Rai417010Did not deliver
Luizão1410900Did not deliver
Pablo *74500Investment
Júnior *5000Investment
Marcelo Cirino2000Did not deliver
Fabrício0000Did not deliver

Ceara (17 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Messias35303511Good
Stiven Mendoza28201612Good
Marlon36150410Below expectations
Gabriel Dias18114100Below expectations
João Ricardo21113100Did not deliver
Igor17110101Fair
Jorginho3399123Fair
Buiu1588200Did not deliver
Jael2584223Fair
Erick1770400Below expectations
Yony González2041120Below expectations
Vinícius Machado1432100Did not deliver
Willian Oliveira1628600Did not deliver
Airton *2415600Investment
Wendson145510Did not deliver
Jordan73900Did not deliver
Hélio132300Did not deliver

Chapecoense-sc (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Ignacio25214721Good
Moisés Ribeiro28154900Below expectations
Keiller25144900Did not deliver
Jordan20120401Below expectations
Fernandinho16105200Below expectations
Ravanelli2086212Fair
Geuvânio3073531Fair
Kaio2761231Below expectations
Laércio Soldá2650200Did not deliver
Léo Gomes1248600Did not deliver
Fabinho1639100Did not deliver
Felipe1337900Did not deliver
Renê Júnior933500Did not deliver

Corinthians (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Giuliano21180033Excellent
Renato Augusto22149241Good
Willian1045802Fair
João Pedro121400Did not deliver
Matheus Alexandre *4000Investment
Rick1000Did not deliver
Carlos Miguel *0000Investment

Cuiaba (20 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Uendel36313600Good
Walter34311000Good
Paulão36308910Good
João Lucas34295402Excellent
Pepê34261832Excellent
Clayson31253023Excellent
Marllon36231821Fair
Camilo33191300Fair
Jonathan Cafú34135230Fair
Alan Empereur17122110Below expectations
Uillian Correia36101210Below expectations
Yuri3288700Did not deliver
Danilo Gomes Magalhaes2870300Did not deliver
Yesus Cabrera1737802Below expectations
Osman3231800Did not deliver
Rafael Papagaio2429610Did not deliver
Guilherme Pato2220401Did not deliver
Wálber101300Did not deliver
Murilo Rangel21000Did not deliver
Joaquim *1000Investment

Flamengo (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Andreas Pereira19139151Good
Bruno Viana3790400Did not deliver
David Luiz751600Fair
Kenedy1849211Fair

Fluminense (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Samuel Xavier30242601Good
David Braz36148220Did not deliver
Jhon Arias2092510Fair
Juan Cazares3381512Fair
Abel Hernández3080030Fair
Manoel3473810Did not deliver
Nonato2268401Below expectations
Wellington3564100Did not deliver
Raúl Bobadilla2455831Fair
Gustavo Apis178500Did not deliver
João Lopes3000Did not deliver

Fortaleza EC (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcelo Benevenuto34309340Excellent
Titi36302821Good
Yago Pikachu35289295Excellent
Éderson34265012Excellent
Robson342192101Excellent
Lucas Crispim28197217Excellent
Jussa26179800Fair
Lucas Lima19100811Fair
Ángelo Henríquez2352001Did not deliver
Daniel Guedes3317101Did not deliver
Nathan Mendes *5000Investment
Gustavo Blanco7000Did not deliver
Isaque1000Did not deliver

Gremio (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Rafinha34230407Good
Thiago Santos28214341Good
Douglas Costa26182332Excellent
Miguel Borja18107153Excellent
Mathias Villasanti18102810Fair
Jaminton Campaz2292220Fair
Léo Pereira2361000Did not deliver
Ricardinho1545710Below expectations

Internacional (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Bruno Méndez26223300Fair
Taison23168441Good
Carlos Palacios2291403Fair
Paulo Victor2887301Did not deliver
Gabriel Mercado2085210Did not deliver
Juan Manuel Cuesta *1312800Investment
Rick1000Did not deliver

Juventude (28 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Vitor Mendes34309420Excellent
William Matheus32288211Good
Michel Macedo34274403Good
Rafael Forster35266900Fair
Guilherme Castilho33265144Excellent
Dawhan25189331Good
Jádson27172000Fair
Wescley30166410Fair
Ricardo Bueno20159270Good
Douglas Friedrich28154000Did not deliver
Paulinho Boia20135230Good
Chico38123912Fair
Matheus Peixoto1396370Fair
Juan Quintero2193400Did not deliver
Matheus Jesus2093000Did not deliver
Paulo Henrique3779202Did not deliver
Elton1175400Did not deliver
Didi3639600Did not deliver
Alyson935500Did not deliver
Ricardinho2433800Did not deliver
Roberson2633710Did not deliver
Bruno Roberto3524600Did not deliver
Fernando Pacheco2824100Did not deliver
Cleberson2015100Did not deliver
Guilherme Santos1111201Did not deliver
Rafel Bilu *116100Investment
Nicolás Castillo64700Did not deliver
Edwin Mosquera *8900Investment

Palmeiras (4 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Joaquín Piquerez1398901Fair
Danilo Barbosa2749002Below expectations
Jorge748200Did not deliver
Danrley0000Did not deliver

RB Bragantino (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jadsom30186511Fair
Natan37172500Did not deliver
Bruno Praxedes23123423Fair
Pedrinho3576102Did not deliver
Emiliano Martínez1958000Did not deliver
Gabriel Novaes2154113Fair
Rafael915000Did not deliver
Cristiano *1114400Investment
Bruno Gonçalves127910Did not deliver
Maycon Cleiton *17000Investment
Miguel Silveira *2000Investment

Santos (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marcos Guilherme36273453Excellent
Camacho30227901Good
Danilo Boza34147901Below expectations
Vinicius Zanocelo32135802Fair
Emiliano Velázquez1083400Fair
Diego Tardelli1260410Fair
Moraes3648500Did not deliver
Jandrei209000Did not deliver
Luiz Henrique152000Did not deliver

Sao Paulo (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Miranda28245301Good
Emiliano Rigoni30208645Excellent
Jonathan Calleri1689450Fair
Martin Benitez2988621Fair
Éder2868412Below expectations
Gabriel Neves1642200Did not deliver
Luis Orejuela2137700Did not deliver
Bruno Rodrigues3800Did not deliver
William da Silva3000Did not deliver

Sport Recife (16 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Sabino35314200Good
Zé Welison34249621Good
Hayner34183001Below expectations
Paulinho Moccelin34177431Good
André20138420Good
Hernanes19116500Below expectations
Everaldo18103402Fair
Santiago Tréllez3489610Fair
Thiago Lopes1555200Below expectations
Pedro Henrique839100Did not deliver
Neílton627100Fair
Cristiano2517400Did not deliver
Maxwell812300Did not deliver
Rick2000Did not deliver
Carlos Eduardo29000Did not deliver
Carlos Renteria0000Did not deliver
Signings Report · Brasileirão Série A 2021 · January 3, 2022